Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 02/08, 19:30
Prediction: Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central
Team pages: Deportivo Riestra · Barracas Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.61Total
Deportivo Riestra0.94
Barracas Central0.67
1X2
Deportivo Riestra
Draw
Barracas Central
Markets
Under 1.5 goals 51%
Not both to score 56%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Riestra
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Barracas Central
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Riestra
0–4–2
Barracas Central
(6 last)
- Barracas Central1-1Deportivo Riestra
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Barracas Central
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Barracas Central
- Deportivo Riestra0-1Barracas Central
- Deportivo Riestra0-0Barracas Central
- Barracas Central1-0Deportivo Riestra
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Riestra 1456 · Barracas Central 1491
| Deportivo Riestra | Draw | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 37% | 24% |
| Market | 41% | 33% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
1.61 goals · Bet365 line 1.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Barracas Central: 2-4-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Riestra | Barracas Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.7 | 2 / 3.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Riestra 0–4–2 Barracas Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Barracas Central | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Riestra |
| 24/11/25 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 06/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 04/02/24 Argentina Copa de la Liga Profesional | Deportivo Riestra | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 25/03/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Barracas Central |
| 26/02/19 Argentina Primera B Metropolitana | Barracas Central | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Riestra |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Belgrano | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Racing Club | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 4 | Barracas Central | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Huracan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Aldosivi | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 8 | Atlético Tucumán | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Independiente Rivadavia | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Sarmiento | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 | Rosario Central | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 | Gimnasia LP | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Banfield | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | River Plate | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 | CA Tigre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Riestra
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | San Lorenzo Argentina Cup |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 27/05 | Palestino Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 20/05 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 30/04 | Torque Copa Sudamericana |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 24/04 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 20/04 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 15/04 | Gremio Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
Barracas Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 03/06 | Huracan Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 28/05 | Vasco da Gama Copa Sudamericana |
0-2 | 0-3 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 20/05 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 07/05 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 10 | L |
| 02/05 | Banfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 29/04 | Audax Italiano Copa Sudamericana |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 25/04 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 20/04 | Belgrano Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 16/04 | Olimpia Asuncion Copa Sudamericana |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 9 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Riestra win (40%). Probabilities: Deportivo Riestra 40%, draw 35%, Barracas Central 25%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?
The model expects 1.61 goals (Deportivo Riestra 0.94 · Barracas Central 0.67), with a 54% chance of under 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Riestra vs Barracas Central?
The model gives a 56% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.