Football · France Ligue 3 · 07/08, 20:45
Prediction: Rouen vs Cannes
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.79Total
Rouen1.73
Cannes1.07
1X2
Rouen
Draw
Cannes
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Rouen
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Cannes
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rouen 1535 · Cannes 1560
| Rouen | Draw | Cannes | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 26% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 22% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.79 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Rouen | Cannes | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 0.7 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.6 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 4.3 / 7.7 | 2 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.3 / 0.3 |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Amiens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Cannes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | FC Fleury 91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rouen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Versailles 78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Villefranche | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Bourg-Peronnas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | La Roche VF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Le Puy | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Paris 13 Atletico | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Quevilly | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aubagne Air Bel | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | SC Bastia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Caen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Thionville FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Concarneau | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | US Orleans 45 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Valenciennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rouen
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Avranches Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 28/07 | Al-Wakrah SC Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | Boulogne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Laval France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 19/05 | Laval France Ligue 2 Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 2-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 13 | 1 | L |
| 02/05 | US Quevilly France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 24/04 | Aubagne Air Bel France Ligue 3 |
2-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 17/04 | Concarneau France National |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | D |
Cannes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Roma Elite Club Friendlies |
0-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 22/07 | Montpellier Europe Friendlies |
2-2 | 4-3 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Rodez Aveyron Club Friendly List |
0-2 | 1-4 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | US Lusitanos Saint-Maur France National 2 |
0-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Rousset-Ste Victoire France National 2 |
1-0 | 3-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 01/05 | GOAL FC France National 2 |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Nimes France National 2 |
0-3 | 0-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/04 | Creteil France National 2 |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 11/04 | Grasse France National 2 |
1-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 03/04 | FC 93 Bobigny France National 2 |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rouen vs Cannes?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Rouen win (52%). Probabilities: Rouen 52%, draw 26%, Cannes 22%.
How many goals are expected in Rouen vs Cannes?
The model expects 2.79 goals (Rouen 1.73 · Cannes 1.07), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Rouen vs Cannes?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.