Prediction: Amiens vs La Roche VF
Team pages: Amiens · La Roche VF
| Amiens | Draw | La Roche VF | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 40% | 28% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours La Roche VF (rating 1478 vs 1578).
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Amiens | La Roche VF | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.7 | 2 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 1.7 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2 / 0 | 2.7 / 0.1 |
Standings · France Ligue 3
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Caen | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Thionville FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Le Puy | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | US Orleans 45 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | Bourg-Peronnas | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | La Roche VF | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 |
| 7 | Paris 13 Atletico | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Amiens | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Cannes | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | FC Fleury 91 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Rouen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Versailles 78 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 | Villefranche | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 | US Quevilly | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 | SC Bastia | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 | Concarneau | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 | Aubagne Air Bel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Valenciennes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Amiens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | FC Fleury 91 France Ligue 3 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 31/07 | Red Star FC 93 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 31/07 | Chambly Thelle FC Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 25/07 | KV Kortrijk Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 24/07 | Boulogne Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 18/07 | US Quevilly Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 17/07 | Le Havre Club Friendly List |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 11/07 | Paris 13 Atletico Europe Friendlies |
1-3 | 2-4 | 8 | 0 | L |
| 09/05 | St Etienne France Ligue 2 |
0-2 | 0-5 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 02/05 | Red Star FC 93 France Ligue 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 2 | L |
La Roche VF
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/08 | Versailles 78 France Ligue 3 |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 29/07 | Vendee Fontenay Club Friendly List |
3-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 25/07 | St Pryve St Hilaire Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/07 | Nantes Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Le Mans Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 3-2 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 16/05 | Locmine Saint-Colomban France National 2 |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | FC Chauray France National 2 |
2-0 | 4-1 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Granville France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/04 | Stade Poitevin France National 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 17/04 | Angouleme France National 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Amiens vs La Roche VF?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Amiens win (40%). Probabilities: Amiens 40%, draw 29%, La Roche VF 31%.
How many goals are expected in Amiens vs La Roche VF?
The model expects 2.44 goals (Amiens 1.31 · La Roche VF 1.13), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Amiens vs La Roche VF?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.