Football · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · 18/07, 00:30
Prediction: Nacional De Football vs Montevideo Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.29Total
Nacional De Football1.41
Montevideo Wanderers0.87
1X2
Nacional De Football
Draw
Montevideo Wanderers
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Nacional De Football
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Montevideo Wanderers
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Nacional De Football
5–1–0
Montevideo Wanderers
(6 last)
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Nacional De Football: 5-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Nacional De Football | Montevideo Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.1 | 1.3 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.6 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.5 | 5.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Nacional De Football 5–1–0 Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 26/10/25 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Nacional De Football |
| 27/04/25 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 16/09/24 Uruguay Clausura | Montevideo Wanderers | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Nacional De Football |
| 03/03/24 Uruguay Apertura | Nacional De Football | 3-0 HT 1-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
| 26/11/23 Uruguay Clausura | Nacional De Football | 3-1 HT 3-0 | Montevideo Wanderers |
Standings · Uruguay Torneo Intermedio · Primera Division 2026, Torneo Intermedio, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Maldonado | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 5 | 11 |
| 2 | Nacional De Football | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Montevideo Wanderers | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Torque | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 9 | 9 |
| 5 | Albion FC | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 5 |
| 6 | Juventud De Las Piedras | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 4 |
| 7 | Danubio | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 3 |
| 8 | Club Atletico Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 3 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Nacional De Football | Montevideo Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Danubio | 0-0 D | 0-0 D |
| Juventud De Las Piedras | 2-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Deportivo Maldonado | 0-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Albion FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 3 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Montevideo Wanderers (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Nacional De Football
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Danubio Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 06/06 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/05 | Coquimbo Unido Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 23/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 12 | W |
| 21/05 | Universitario de Deportes Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 16/05 | Torque Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 11/05 | Cerro Uruguay Apertura |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 07/05 | Deportes Tolima Copa Libertadores |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 04/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Apertura |
1-3 | 2-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
Montevideo Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/07 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/06 | Danubio Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 31/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 5-2 | 6 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo Maldonado Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Albion FC Uruguay Torneo Intermedio |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 09/05 | Liverpool Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | Juventud De Las Piedras Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 27/04 | Penarol Uruguay Apertura |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 18/04 | Club Atletico Progreso Uruguay Apertura |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/04 | Racing Club de Montevideo Uruguay Apertura |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Nacional De Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Nacional De Football win (48%). Probabilities: Nacional De Football 48%, draw 30%, Montevideo Wanderers 22%.
How many goals are expected in Nacional De Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model expects 2.29 goals (Nacional De Football 1.41 · Montevideo Wanderers 0.87), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Nacional De Football vs Montevideo Wanderers?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.