Football · Morocco GNF 1 · 05/07, 19:00

Prediction: MAS Fes vs Olympique Dcheira

Expected goals: 2.12 (MAS Fes 1.52 · Olympique Dcheira 0.61). The model gives 59% home, 27% draw, 14% away. Under 2.25 goals (54%) and not both to score (54%). Most likely score: 1-0.

Over its last 10 matches, MAS Fes sits at 4-3-3 (W-D-L), while Olympique Dcheira arrives on a 3-3-4 run. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for MAS Fes and 1 for Olympique Dcheira, with 2 draws.

59%1
59% 27% 14%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · MAS Fes 1530 · Olympique Dcheira 1493
MAS FesDrawOlympique Dcheira
Our model58%28%14%
Market60%26%15%
Estimated total (ours) 2.12 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals2.12MAS Fes 1.52 · Olympique Dcheira 0.61
Over / Under 2.25Under 2.25 · 54%
BTTSNo · 54%
Most likely total2 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours MAS Fes: 3-2-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

MAS FesOlympique Dcheira
Goals for / against (FT)0.9 / 0.81.2 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.5 / 0.50.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/30/40%40/0/60%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 2.41.9 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.7 / 0.54.5 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · MAS Fes 321 Olympique Dcheira

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Morocco GNF 1
Olympique Dcheira0-2
HT 0-1
MAS Fes
16/08/20
Morocco GNF 2
MAS Fes3-3Olympique Dcheira
01/12/19
Morocco GNF 2
Olympique Dcheira2-2MAS Fes
21/04/19
Morocco GNF 2
Olympique Dcheira1-0MAS Fes
22/12/18
Morocco GNF 2
MAS Fes3-1Olympique Dcheira
17/12/17
Morocco GNF 2
MAS Fes2-0
HT 1-0
Olympique Dcheira

Standings · Morocco GNF 1

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 MAS Fes 2915113 381756
2 RSB Berkane 291595 412654
3 FAR Rabat 2913151 452254
4 Raja Casablanca 291586 371953
5 WAC Casablanca 2913412 383143
6 Difaa El Jadida 299137 293140
7 FUS Rabat 2991010 313537
8 CODM Meknes 299911 233136
9 Ittihad Tanger 298129 253036
10 KACM Marrakesh 2981110 262535
11 Renaissance Zemamra 298813 283732
12 HUSA Agadir 298813 263832
13 Olympique Dcheira 297913 293830
14 Union de Touarga 2951311 303928
15 US Yacoub El Mansour 296914 334427
16 OC Safi 2931313 244022

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentMAS FesOlympique Dcheira
WAC Casablanca 1-0 W 3-1 W
Difaa El Jadida 2-1 W 2-2 D
FUS Rabat 1-1 D 2-0 W
FAR Rabat 0-0 D 1-1 D
OC Safi 2-1 W 1-1 D
Ittihad Tanger 0-1 L 2-0 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 1 L 3 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Olympique Dcheira (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

MAS Fes

LLWDDWLWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 KACM Marrakesh
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 03 D
28/06 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-1 24 W
25/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 1-0 16 W
21/06 RSB Berkane
Morocco GNF 1
1-2 1-2 68 L
17/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 2-1 35 W
12/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 611 D
09/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-0 13 D
01/06 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-1 111 W
22/05 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
0-0 0-1 26 L
17/05 US Yacoub El Mansour
Morocco Cup
0-1 0-1 25 L

Olympique Dcheira

LLLLDDWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
02/07 OC Safi
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 84 D
28/06 WAC Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
2-1 3-1 23 W
25/06 Ittihad Tanger
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-0 27 W
21/06 FUS Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
1-0 2-0 34 W
18/06 FAR Rabat
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 1-1 42 D
12/06 Difaa El Jadida
Morocco GNF 1
2-0 2-2 32 D
08/06 HUSA Agadir
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 27 L
01/06 CODM Meknes
Morocco GNF 1
0-2 1-2 64 L
24/05 Raja Casablanca
Morocco GNF 1
0-1 0-1 37 L
16/05 OC Safi
Morocco Cup
0-1 0-3 47 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in MAS Fes vs Olympique Dcheira?

According to our model, the most likely result is a MAS Fes win (59%). Probabilities: MAS Fes 59%, draw 27%, Olympique Dcheira 14%.

How many goals are expected in MAS Fes vs Olympique Dcheira?

The model expects 2.12 goals (MAS Fes 1.52 · Olympique Dcheira 0.61), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in MAS Fes vs Olympique Dcheira?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.