Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wieczysta Krakow II

Team pages: Naprzod Jedrzejow · Wieczysta Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.96Total

Naprzod Jedrzejow1.82

Wieczysta Krakow II1.14

1X2

52% 25% 23%

Naprzod Jedrzejow Draw Wieczysta Krakow II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Naprzod Jedrzejow 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

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Wieczysta Krakow II 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

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Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naprzod Jedrzejow (rating 1536 vs 1488).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Wieczysta Krakow II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.8	0.8 / 0.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.2	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.83

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:40

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.39 → 2.34▼	Pinn 2.34
X	3.23 → 3.43▲	Pinn 3.43
2	2.52 → 2.46▼	Pinn 2.46

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 12.5%

Time*	1	X	2
03:14 +16’	2.39	3.23	2.52
04:39 +1’	2.34▼	3.43▲	2.46▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	14	6	3	5	21	15	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Star Starachowice	14	4	5	5	20	21	17
11	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
12	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Wieczysta Krakow II
Wisloka Debica	0-4 L	3-0 W
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-0 W	1-1 D
Chelmianka Chelm	0-2 L	0-1 L
Moravia Morawica	2-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wieczysta Krakow II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naprzod Jedrzejow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-4	0-4	11	2	L
11/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
23/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L

Wieczysta Krakow II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
03/10	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
26/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
19/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
05/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
29/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
19/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Naprzod Jedrzejow win (52%). Probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 52%, draw 25%, Wieczysta Krakow II 23%.

How many goals are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model expects 2.96 goals (Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.82 · Wieczysta Krakow II 1.14), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.