Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00
Prediction: Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice
Team pages: Moravia Morawica · Star Starachowice
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.36Total
Moravia Morawica1.61
Star Starachowice1.75
1X2
Moravia Morawica
Draw
Star Starachowice
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Moravia Morawica
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Star Starachowice
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Moravia Morawica
0–1–0
Star Starachowice
(1 last)
- Moravia Morawica2-2Star Starachowice
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Star Starachowice (rating 1449 vs 1525).
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Moravia Morawica | Star Starachowice | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.8 | 1.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.4 | 5.3 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Moravia Morawica 0–1–0 Star Starachowice
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 Europe Friendlies | Moravia Morawica | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Star Starachowice |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 15 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 37 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 27 | 13 | 29 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 15 | 9 | 2 | 4 | 23 | 17 | 29 |
| 4 | Hetman Zamosc | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 26 |
| 5 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 28 | 25 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 22 | 20 | 25 |
| 7 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 16 | 24 |
| 8 | Wisla Krakow II | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 22 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 22 | 21 |
| 10 | Star Starachowice | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 24 | 24 | 20 |
| 11 | JKS Jaroslaw | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 18 |
| 12 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 17 | 16 |
| 13 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19 | 16 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 29 | 35 | 14 |
| 15 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 15 | 4 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 35 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 11 | 24 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 15 | 3 | 3 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 12 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Moravia Morawica | Star Starachowice |
|---|---|---|
| Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 4-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 2-3 L | 4-1 W |
| Wieczysta Krakow II | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Wisloka Debica | 0-0 D | 2-3 L |
| Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| JKS Jaroslaw | 2-2 D | 0-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Moravia Morawica (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moravia Morawica
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 24/10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 17/10 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 10/10 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 03/10 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | – | – | D |
| 27/09 | JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/09 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 8 | L |
| 05/09 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 30/08 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-4 | 2 | 6 | L |
Star Starachowice
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/10 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 10 | W |
| 23/10 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 17/10 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 14 | W |
| 10/10 | Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 01/10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | D |
| 26/09 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 19/09 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 13/09 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/09 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 29/08 | JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Star Starachowice win (41%). Probabilities: Moravia Morawica 35%, draw 25%, Star Starachowice 41%.
How many goals are expected in Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice?
The model expects 3.36 goals (Moravia Morawica 1.61 · Star Starachowice 1.75), with a 56% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Moravia Morawica vs Star Starachowice?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.