Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 15:00

Prediction: KSZO Ostrowiec vs Wieczysta Krakow II

Team pages: KSZO Ostrowiec · Wieczysta Krakow II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

KSZO Ostrowiec1.82

Wieczysta Krakow II1.02

1X2

55% 25% 20%

KSZO Ostrowiec Draw Wieczysta Krakow II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

KSZO Ostrowiec 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

WDWDLDWWWL

Wieczysta Krakow II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLLDLWDWDL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSZO Ostrowiec (rating 1546 vs 1481).
High corners: 15.9 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	KSZO Ostrowiec	Wieczysta Krakow II
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.6 / 9	2.9 / 6.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	5.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 31.92

Diff.: 0.65 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 04:43

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.29 → 1.29	Pinn 1.29
X	4.85 → 4.85	Pinn 4.85
2	7.33 → 7.33	Pinn 7.33

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
04:12 +31’	1.29	4.85	7.33

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	KSZO Ostrowiec	Wieczysta Krakow II
Chelmianka Chelm	0-0 D	0-1 L
Wisla Krakow II	1-0 W	1-2 L
Naprzod Jedrzejow	2-2 D	2-2 D
Moravia Morawica	4-0 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: KSZO Ostrowiec (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSZO Ostrowiec

WDWDLDWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	15	3	L
24/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
17/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	3-1	–	–	W
10/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	3-0	5-0	1	3	W
03/10	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
27/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	15	3	L
19/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	7	6	W
05/09	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	7	6	W

Wieczysta Krakow II

LLLDLWDWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	11	4	L
24/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
10/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	12	7	D
03/10	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	3	10	W
26/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	2	L
19/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	4	D
11/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-2	1-2	4	9	L
05/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	2	L
29/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KSZO Ostrowiec win (55%). Probabilities: KSZO Ostrowiec 55%, draw 25%, Wieczysta Krakow II 20%.

How many goals are expected in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model expects 2.85 goals (KSZO Ostrowiec 1.82 · Wieczysta Krakow II 1.02), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in KSZO Ostrowiec vs Wieczysta Krakow II?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.