Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 18:00

Prediction: Kluczevia Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk

Team pages: Kluczevia Stargard · Gedania Gdansk

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.98Total
Kluczevia Stargard2.53
Gedania Gdansk1.45
1X2
60% 20% 20%
Kluczevia Stargard Draw Gedania Gdansk
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
2-1
Recent form · 10 last
Kluczevia Stargard 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LLLLLLWDWW
Gedania Gdansk 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
LWWWWLLWDD
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kluczevia Stargard 1483 · Gedania Gdansk 1520
Kluczevia StargardDrawGedania Gdansk
Our model60%20%20%
Market60%20%20%
Estimated total (ours) 3.98 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Kluczevia StargardGedania Gdansk
Goals for / against (FT)1.8 / 22.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.51.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.8 / 5.53.1 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.5 / 0.12.9 / 0.1

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kluczevia Stargard

LLLLLLWDWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
2-0 4-1 91 W
08/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-1 46 W
01/08 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
0-1 3-3 35 D
18/07 Warta Gorzow
Europe Friendlies
2-0 3-0 72 W
08/07 OKS Swit Skolwin
Club Friendly List
0-0 1-3 L
30/05 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-3 L
23/05 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-2 310 L
16/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-2 41 L
13/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-3 84 L
09/05 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-2 68 L

Gedania Gdansk

LWWWWLLWDD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-1 D
08/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-1 2-2 72 D
31/07 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
2-1 5-3 85 W
24/07 Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski
Europe Friendlies
2-2 2-5 62 L
11/07 Olimpia Elblag
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-4 54 L
04/06 Czarni Pruszcz Gdanski
Poland IV Liga
1-1 4-1 83 W
31/05 Powisle Dzierzgon
Poland IV Liga
2-0 5-0 102 W
23/05 Bytovia Bytow
Poland IV Liga
2-1 4-1 71 W
16/05 Jaguar Gdansk
Poland IV Liga
2-1 4-2 13 W
09/05 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-2 35 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kluczevia Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kluczevia Stargard win (60%). Probabilities: Kluczevia Stargard 60%, draw 20%, Gedania Gdansk 20%.

How many goals are expected in Kluczevia Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Kluczevia Stargard 2.53 · Gedania Gdansk 1.45), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Kluczevia Stargard vs Gedania Gdansk?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.