Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 12:00

Prediction: Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew

Team pages: Lech Poznan II · Lipno Steszew

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Lech Poznan II2.17
Lipno Steszew1.32
1X2
56% 22% 22%
Lech Poznan II Draw Lipno Steszew
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lech Poznan II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DWDLLLLWDL
Lipno Steszew 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
WLWLWWLDLL
Head-to-head
Lech Poznan II 0–2 Lipno Steszew (2 last)
  • Lipno Steszew1-0Lech Poznan II
  • Lech Poznan II2-3Lipno Steszew
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lech Poznan II 1465 · Lipno Steszew 1478
Lech Poznan IIDrawLipno Steszew
Our model56%22%22%
Market56%22%22%
Estimated total (ours) 3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Lipno Steszew: 2-0-0.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Lech Poznan IILipno Steszew
Goals for / against (FT)2 / 2.31.4 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)1.4 / 1.10.4 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 61.3 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.8 / 0.12.4 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lech Poznan II 002 Lipno Steszew

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DateHomeScoreAway
29/11/25
Poland III Liga
Lipno Steszew1-0
HT 1-0
Lech Poznan II
09/08/25
Poland III Liga
Lech Poznan II2-3
HT 0-1
Lipno Steszew

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLech Poznan IILipno Steszew
Victoria Wrzesnia 5-2 W 3-1 W
Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce 0-3 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 0 D 1 L 1 W 0 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lech Poznan II

DWDLLLLWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
2-4 2-4 75 L
08/08 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
1-1 1-1 104 D
01/08 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
3-1 5-2 76 W
30/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-2 L
23/05 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-3 L
17/05 Zawisza Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
2-2 2-4 38 L
13/05 Tluchowia Tluchowo
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-3 113 L
09/05 Cartusia Kartuzy
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 43 D
30/04 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
Poland III Liga
3-0 6-2 31 W
25/04 Pogon Szczecin II
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-2 39 D

Lipno Steszew

WLWLWWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-4 21 L
08/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
0-1 1-2 53 L
01/08 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 143 D
15/07 Unia Swarzedz
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 40 L
30/05 Unia Swarzedz
Poland III Liga
1-1 4-3 53 W
23/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-1 23 W
17/05 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
0-2 0-5 32 L
13/05 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-0 14 W
09/05 Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-2 L
01/05 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 03 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lech Poznan II win (56%). Probabilities: Lech Poznan II 56%, draw 22%, Lipno Steszew 22%.

How many goals are expected in Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew?

The model expects 3.49 goals (Lech Poznan II 2.17 · Lipno Steszew 1.32), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lech Poznan II vs Lipno Steszew?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.