Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Lipno Steszew vs KKS 1925 Kalisz

Team pages: Lipno Steszew · KKS 1925 Kalisz

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.28Total

Lipno Steszew1.72

KKS 1925 Kalisz1.55

1X2

41% 25% 34%

Lipno Steszew Draw KKS 1925 Kalisz

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Lipno Steszew 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWDLW

KKS 1925 Kalisz 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DLDWDDDWLL

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lipno Steszew	KKS 1925 Kalisz
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2.3	1.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/50/50%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 4.6	2 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.7 / 0.4	3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.89

Under 31.81

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 3.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:05

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.55
X	3.27 → 3.27	Pinn 3.27
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.3%

Time*	1	X	2
02:15 +50’	2.55	3.27	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lipno Steszew	KKS 1925 Kalisz
Blekitni Stargard	4-3 W	0-5 L
Chemik Bydgoszcz	0-1 L	1-1 D
Victoria Wrzesnia	1-1 D	3-3 D
Baltyk Koszalin	2-1 W	1-1 D
KSS Kotwica Kornik	1-4 L	2-2 D
Lech Poznan II	0-1 L	2-4 L
Kluczevia Stargard	1-4 L	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 4 L	1 W 4 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lipno Steszew

LLLLLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	2-2	4-3	2	6	W
03/10	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
26/09	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
19/09	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
12/09	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	7	1	L
05/09	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	1-1	1-3	6	5	L
28/08	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	7	5	L
22/08	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	0-1	2-3	–	–	L
19/08	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	0-2	1-4	–	–	L

KKS 1925 Kalisz

DLDWDDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-3	2-4	3	2	L
03/10	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	0-4	0-5	4	2	L
27/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	6	5	W
19/09	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
12/09	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
05/09	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	2-2	3-3	–	–	D
29/08	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	2-1	5-1	–	–	W
23/08	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
19/08	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lipno Steszew vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lipno Steszew win (41%). Probabilities: Lipno Steszew 41%, draw 25%, KKS 1925 Kalisz 34%.

How many goals are expected in Lipno Steszew vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

The model expects 3.28 goals (Lipno Steszew 1.72 · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Lipno Steszew vs KKS 1925 Kalisz?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.