Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 14:00

Prediction: Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw

Team pages: Blekitni Stargard · Grom Nowy Staw

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.11Total
Blekitni Stargard2.49
Grom Nowy Staw1.62
1X2
56% 21% 23%
Blekitni Stargard Draw Grom Nowy Staw
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
2-1 8%
Recent form · 10 last
Blekitni Stargard 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
LWWLWDDWLD
Grom Nowy Staw 4-1-5 (W-D-L)
LLWDLWWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Blekitni Stargard 1523 · Grom Nowy Staw 1506
Blekitni StargardDrawGrom Nowy Staw
Our model56%20%24%
Market55%22%23%
Estimated total (ours) 4.11 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Blekitni StargardGrom Nowy Staw
Goals for / against (FT)2.6 / 22.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)1.7 / 1.11.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/40/20%40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)3.7 / 6.11.1 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.3 / 0.14.9 / 0.3

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 13940 20631
2 KSZO Ostrowiec 13751 241026
3 Wisloka Debica 13823 201326
4 Naprzod Jedrzejow 13724 282523
5 Wislanie Jaskowice 13634 201321
6 Czarni Polaniec 13634 181721
7 Hetman Zamosc 13553 252220
8 JKS Jaroslaw 13526 292517
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 13526 191917
10 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 13373 131316
11 Wisla Krakow II 13445 151816
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 13436 121515
13 Star Starachowice 13355 182014
14 Korona Kielce II 13427 283114
15 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 13427 193014
16 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 13346 111813
17 Moravia Morawica 13238 13239
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 13229 12268

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentBlekitni StargardGrom Nowy Staw
Chemik Bydgoszcz 3-3 D 2-0 W
Victoria Wrzesnia 1-1 D 0-1 L
Baltyk Koszalin 2-0 W 1-3 L
KSS Kotwica Kornik 2-4 L 3-1 W
Flota Swinoujscie 5-1 W 5-0 W
KTS-K Luzino 2-1 W 1-5 L
Polonia Sroda Wlkp 1-4 L 4-4 D
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 2 L 3 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Grom Nowy Staw (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Blekitni Stargard

LWWLWDDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Gedania Gdansk
Poland III Liga
2-2 2-2 56 D
10/10 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
2-2 3-4 166 L
03/10 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland III Liga
4-0 5-0 12 W
26/09 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
3-2 3-3 12 D
19/09 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-1 66 D
12/09 Baltyk Koszalin
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 64 W
05/09 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Poland III Liga
2-2 2-4 85 L
29/08 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
3-0 5-1 –– W
23/08 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
0-1 2-1 –– W
19/08 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-4 –– L

Grom Nowy Staw

LLWDLWWLLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
17/10 Chemik Bydgoszcz
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-0 25 W
10/10 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-1 38 L
03/10 Baltyk Koszalin
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-3 310 L
26/09 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Poland III Liga
2-1 3-1 53 W
19/09 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
5-0 5-0 25 W
11/09 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
0-2 1-5 40 L
05/09 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
2-2 4-4 56 D
29/08 Lech Poznan II
Poland III Liga
0-2 4-2 54 W
23/08 Kluczevia Stargard
Poland III Liga
1-2 3-4 –– L
19/08 Wda Swiecie
Poland III Liga
2-1 2-4 –– L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Blekitni Stargard win (56%). Probabilities: Blekitni Stargard 56%, draw 21%, Grom Nowy Staw 23%.

How many goals are expected in Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw?

The model expects 4.11 goals (Blekitni Stargard 2.49 · Grom Nowy Staw 1.62), with a 53% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Blekitni Stargard vs Grom Nowy Staw?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.