Football · Poland III Liga · 09/08, 17:00

Prediction: KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz

Team pages: KKS 1925 Kalisz · Unia Swarzedz

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
KKS 1925 Kalisz1.78
Unia Swarzedz1.23
1X2
50% 25% 25%
KKS 1925 Kalisz Draw Unia Swarzedz
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KKS 1925 Kalisz 3-1-6 (W-D-L)
LDWLLLWLWL
Unia Swarzedz 7-1-2 (W-D-L)
DWWWWLWLWW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KKS 1925 Kalisz 1465 · Unia Swarzedz 1568
KKS 1925 KaliszDrawUnia Swarzedz
Our model49%25%25%
Market50%25%26%
Estimated total (ours) 3.01 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unia Swarzedz (rating 1465 vs 1568).
  • Cards-heavy: 5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KKS 1925 KaliszUnia Swarzedz
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.92.2 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.90.8 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/10/60%50/30/20%
Corners (HT / FT)1.1 / 3.33.1 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.4 / 0.22.6 / 0

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Wisla Krakow II 2200 636
2 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 2110 424
3 Czarni Polaniec 1100 313
4 Wislanie Jaskowice 1100 203
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 1100 543
6 Chelmianka Chelm 1100 103
6 KSZO Ostrowiec 1100 103
8 Hetman Zamosc 2020 222
9 JKS Jaroslaw 1010 221
9 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 1010 221
11 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1010 111
11 Wisloka Debica 1010 111
13 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2011 121
14 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1001 010
15 Korona Kielce II 2002 570
16 Star Starachowice 1001 240
17 Moravia Morawica 1001 020
18 Wieczysta Krakow II 2002 260

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KKS 1925 Kalisz

LDWLLLWLWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Gornik Leczna
Poland Cup
0-1 0-2 24 L
01/08 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-0 W
18/07 Unia Skierniewice
Europe Friendlies
0-3 0-4 21 L
30/05 Unia Skierniewice
Poland II Liga
2-1 2-1 23 W
22/05 Zaglebie Sosnowiec
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-3 52 L
17/05 Warta Poznan
Poland II Liga
0-1 0-2 20 L
09/05 Slask Wroclaw II
Poland II Liga
1-0 2-3 34 L
01/05 Resovia Rzeszow
Poland II Liga
1-0 1-0 73 W
17/04 Sandecja Nowy Sacz
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-1 43 D
11/04 Olimpia Grudziadz
Poland II Liga
0-1 1-3 34 L

Unia Swarzedz

DWWWWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
01/08 Grom Nowy Staw
Poland III Liga
1-0 3-2 63 W
25/07 KSS Kotwica Kornik
Europe Friendlies
0-1 2-1 61 W
17/07 Sokol Kleczew
Europe Friendlies
0-3 1-7 41 L
15/07 Lipno Steszew
Europe Friendlies
1-0 3-0 60 W
30/05 Lipno Steszew
Poland III Liga
1-1 3-4 73 L
23/05 Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
Poland III Liga
3-0 3-1 44 W
17/05 Elana Torun
Poland III Liga
1-0 4-0 80 W
13/05 Victoria Wrzesnia
Poland III Liga
0-0 2-1 114 W
08/05 Notec Czarnkow
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-0 W
01/05 Blekitni Stargard
Poland III Liga
0-0 0-0 67 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KKS 1925 Kalisz win (50%). Probabilities: KKS 1925 Kalisz 50%, draw 25%, Unia Swarzedz 25%.

How many goals are expected in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz?

The model expects 3.01 goals (KKS 1925 Kalisz 1.78 · Unia Swarzedz 1.23), with a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in KKS 1925 Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.