Prediction: Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzedz
Team pages: Chemik Bydgoszcz · Unia Swarzedz
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Draw | Unia Swarzedz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 25% | 42% |
| Market | 33% | 25% | 43% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Unia Swarzedz (rating 1448 vs 1509).
- High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chemik Bydgoszcz | Unia Swarzedz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 2.1 | 1.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.2 | 0.7 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.1 | 2.5 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.4 | 4 / 0.3 |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 13 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 20 | 6 | 31 |
| 2 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 13 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 20 | 13 | 26 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 13 | 7 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 25 | 23 |
| 5 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 20 | 13 | 21 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 13 | 6 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 17 | 21 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 22 | 20 |
| 8 | JKS Jaroslaw | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 29 | 25 | 17 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 17 |
| 10 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 13 | 3 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 13 | 16 |
| 11 | Wisla Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 18 | 16 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 13 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 15 |
| 13 | Star Starachowice | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 18 | 20 | 14 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 28 | 31 | 14 |
| 15 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 13 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 14 |
| 16 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 18 | 13 |
| 17 | Moravia Morawica | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 13 | 23 | 9 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chemik Bydgoszcz | Unia Swarzedz |
|---|---|---|
| Victoria Wrzesnia | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| Baltyk Koszalin | 2-2 D | 1-1 D |
| KSS Kotwica Kornik | 1-4 L | 7-0 W |
| Flota Swinoujscie | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| KTS-K Luzino | 1-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Unia Swarzedz (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chemik Bydgoszcz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 5 | L |
| 10/10 | Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 03/10 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 26/09 | Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga |
2-3 | 3-3 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 19/09 | KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 12/09 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 11 | 4 | D |
| 05/09 | Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 28/08 | KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 22/08 | Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 19/08 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
Unia Swarzedz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 10/10 | Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 03/10 | KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 7-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 26/09 | Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 19/09 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 11/09 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/09 | Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/08 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 23/08 | Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 19/08 | Elana Torun Poland III Liga |
1-2 | 3-2 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzedz?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Unia Swarzedz win (43%). Probabilities: Chemik Bydgoszcz 32%, draw 25%, Unia Swarzedz 43%.
How many goals are expected in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model expects 3.23 goals (Chemik Bydgoszcz 1.5 · Unia Swarzedz 1.73), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Chemik Bydgoszcz vs Unia Swarzedz?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.