Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Flota Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp

Team pages: Flota Swinoujscie · Polonia Sroda Wlkp

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.98Total

Flota Swinoujscie1.54

Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.44

1X2

23% 20% 57%

Flota Swinoujscie Draw Polonia Sroda Wlkp

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-2 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Flota Swinoujscie 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LWDLLLLLDL

Polonia Sroda Wlkp 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WDWDDWWWDW

Head-to-head

Flota Swinoujscie 1–3–2 Polonia Sroda Wlkp (6 last)

Polonia Sroda Wlkp6-2Flota Swinoujscie
Flota Swinoujscie0-0Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Polonia Sroda Wlkp3-0Flota Swinoujscie
Flota Swinoujscie1-1Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Flota Swinoujscie3-0Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Polonia Sroda Wlkp1-1Flota Swinoujscie

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp (rating 1411 vs 1601).
H2H favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp: 2-3-1.
High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Flota Swinoujscie	Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 2.9	2.8 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 1.6	1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.3	3.4 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0	4.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.97

Under 3.251.75

Diff.: 0.8 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:26

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	4.14 → 4.14	Pinn 4.14
X	3.88 → 3.88	Pinn 3.88
2	1.61 → 1.61	Pinn 1.61

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +14’	4.14	3.88	1.61

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Flota Swinoujscie 1–3–2 Polonia Sroda Wlkp

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/04/26 Poland III Liga	Polonia Sroda Wlkp	6-2 HT 4-2	Flota Swinoujscie
09/08/25 Poland III Liga	Flota Swinoujscie	0-0 HT 0-0	Polonia Sroda Wlkp
27/04/25 Poland III Liga	Polonia Sroda Wlkp	3-0 HT 0-0	Flota Swinoujscie
28/09/24 Poland III Liga	Flota Swinoujscie	1-1 HT 0-0	Polonia Sroda Wlkp
30/03/24 Poland III Liga	Flota Swinoujscie	3-0 HT 0-0	Polonia Sroda Wlkp
01/09/23 Poland III Liga	Polonia Sroda Wlkp	1-1 HT 0-0	Flota Swinoujscie

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Flota Swinoujscie	Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Lech Poznan II	1-8 L	3-2 W
Kluczevia Stargard	2-2 D	2-0 W
Wda Swiecie	0-1 L	4-0 W
Elana Torun	0-1 L	2-2 D
Notec Czarnkow	0-3 L	0-0 D
Unia Swarzedz	0-2 L	4-3 W
Grom Nowy Staw	0-5 L	4-4 D
Gedania Gdansk	1-1 D	4-3 W
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 6 L	5 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Polonia Sroda Wlkp (8 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Flota Swinoujscie

LWDLLLLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-3	1-8	5	2	L
24/10	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	0-2	2-2	2	6	D
18/10	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	7	3	L
09/10	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	6	4	L
03/10	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	–	–	L
26/09	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	9	2	L
19/09	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	0-5	0-5	4	5	L
12/09	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	1-1	3-1	4	5	W
29/08	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	0-3	1-5	–	–	L

Polonia Sroda Wlkp

WDWDDWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	3-1	5-2	4	2	W
24/10	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
18/10	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	2-1	3-2	6	7	W
09/10	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	9	4	W
03/10	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	7	5	W
26/09	Elana Torun Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	7	3	D
19/09	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
11/09	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	1-1	4-3	5	5	W
05/09	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	2-2	4-4	7	6	D
28/08	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	0-1	4-3	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Flota Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Polonia Sroda Wlkp win (57%). Probabilities: Flota Swinoujscie 23%, draw 20%, Polonia Sroda Wlkp 57%.

How many goals are expected in Flota Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp?

The model expects 3.98 goals (Flota Swinoujscie 1.54 · Polonia Sroda Wlkp 2.44), with a 54% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Flota Swinoujscie vs Polonia Sroda Wlkp?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.