Football · Poland III Liga · 07/08, 19:00
Prediction: Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia
Team pages: Victoria Wrzesnia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.14Total
Polonia Sroda Wlkp2.06
Victoria Wrzesnia1.08
1X2
Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Draw
Victoria Wrzesnia
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 62%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Polonia Sroda Wlkp
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Victoria Wrzesnia
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Polonia Sroda Wlkp
2–1–1
Victoria Wrzesnia
(4 last)
- Polonia Sroda Wlkp0-0Victoria Wrzesnia
- Victoria Wrzesnia2-3Polonia Sroda Wlkp
- Victoria Wrzesnia0-3Polonia Sroda Wlkp
- Polonia Sroda Wlkp1-2Victoria Wrzesnia
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Polonia Sroda Wlkp 1541 · Victoria Wrzesnia 1482
| Polonia Sroda Wlkp | Draw | Victoria Wrzesnia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 23% | 18% |
| Market | 60% | 21% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.14 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp (rating 1541 vs 1482).
- H2H favours Polonia Sroda Wlkp: 2-1-1.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Polonia Sroda Wlkp | Victoria Wrzesnia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 6.7 | 1.7 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Polonia Sroda Wlkp 2–1–1 Victoria Wrzesnia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/04/26 Poland III Liga | Polonia Sroda Wlkp | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Victoria Wrzesnia |
| 04/10/25 Poland III Liga | Victoria Wrzesnia | 2-3 HT 2-0 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp |
| 19/02/22 Europe Friendlies | Victoria Wrzesnia | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp |
| 04/07/20 Europe Friendlies | Polonia Sroda Wlkp | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Victoria Wrzesnia |
Standings · Poland III Liga
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Polonia Sroda Wlkp | Victoria Wrzesnia |
|---|---|---|
| Kluczevia Stargard | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Tluchowia Tluchowo | 3-1 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 0 L | 2 W 0 D 0 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 13 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Pogon Nowe Skalmierzyce Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 11 | W |
| 23/05 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 10 | W |
| 17/05 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 4-0 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 08/05 | Tluchowia Tluchowo Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 3-1 | 15 | 1 | W |
| 01/05 | Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga |
2-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 25/04 | Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 4 | L |
Victoria Wrzesnia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Elana Torun Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Tluchowia Tluchowo Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Pogon Szczecin II Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Polonia Sroda Wlkp win (59%). Probabilities: Polonia Sroda Wlkp 59%, draw 22%, Victoria Wrzesnia 19%.
How many goals are expected in Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
The model expects 3.14 goals (Polonia Sroda Wlkp 2.06 · Victoria Wrzesnia 1.08), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Polonia Sroda Wlkp vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.