Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 17:00
Prediction: Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia
Team pages: Victoria Wrzesnia
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Flota Swinoujscie1.92
Victoria Wrzesnia0.89
1X2
Flota Swinoujscie
Draw
Victoria Wrzesnia
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Flota Swinoujscie
5-1-4 (W-D-L)
Victoria Wrzesnia
3-1-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Flota Swinoujscie
2–0
Victoria Wrzesnia
(2 last)
- Flota Swinoujscie2-1Victoria Wrzesnia
- Victoria Wrzesnia1-2Flota Swinoujscie
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Flota Swinoujscie (rating 1530 vs 1431).
- H2H favours Flota Swinoujscie: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Flota Swinoujscie | Victoria Wrzesnia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 1.2 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.6 | 1.6 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.4 | 3.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Flota Swinoujscie 2–0–0 Victoria Wrzesnia
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Poland III Liga | Flota Swinoujscie | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Victoria Wrzesnia |
| 27/08/25 Poland III Liga | Victoria Wrzesnia | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Flota Swinoujscie |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chelmianka Chelm | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 9 |
| 2 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 9 |
| 3 | Wisloka Debica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 7 |
| 4 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 7 |
| 5 | Wisla Krakow II | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 6 |
| 6 | Czarni Polaniec | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6 |
| 7 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 6 |
| 8 | Hetman Zamosc | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 5 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 4 |
| 10 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| 11 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6 | 4 |
| 12 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 3 |
| 13 | Moravia Morawica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 3 |
| 14 | JKS Jaroslaw | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 1 |
| 15 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 1 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 1 |
| 17 | Korona Kielce II | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flota Swinoujscie
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | KSS Kotwica Kornik Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/08 | KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 05/07 | Warta Gorzow Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 22/05 | Cartusia Kartuzy Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | D |
| 17/05 | Pogon Szczecin II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 13/05 | Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Zawisza Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
Victoria Wrzesnia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 07/08 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga |
1-3 | 2-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 30/05 | Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 01/05 | Elana Torun Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 25/04 | Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Flota Swinoujscie win (60%). Probabilities: Flota Swinoujscie 60%, draw 24%, Victoria Wrzesnia 16%.
How many goals are expected in Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Flota Swinoujscie 1.92 · Victoria Wrzesnia 0.89), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Flota Swinoujscie vs Victoria Wrzesnia?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.