Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 13:00

Prediction: Elana Torun vs KSS Kotwica Kornik

Team pages: Elana Torun · KSS Kotwica Kornik

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.44Total

Elana Torun2.06

KSS Kotwica Kornik1.38

1X2

52% 23% 25%

Elana Torun Draw KSS Kotwica Kornik

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 10%

Recent form · 10 last

Elana Torun 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLLLDDWW

KSS Kotwica Kornik 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLLWWWLLLD

Head-to-head

Elana Torun 0–1–1 KSS Kotwica Kornik (2 last)

Elana Torun1-1KSS Kotwica Kornik
KSS Kotwica Kornik1-0Elana Torun

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Elana Torun 1485 · KSS Kotwica Kornik 1464

	Elana Torun	Draw	KSS Kotwica Kornik
Our model	52%	23%	25%
Market	52%	23%	25%

Estimated total (ours) 3.44 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Elana Torun	KSS Kotwica Kornik
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.9	1.7 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.6	1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.8 / 5.3	1.2 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.70

X3.90

23.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.93

2 (+0.75)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.5 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:39

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:34 +5’	1.70	3.90	3.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Elana Torun 0–1–1 KSS Kotwica Kornik

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
29/03/25 Poland III Liga	Elana Torun	1-1 HT 1-1	KSS Kotwica Kornik
31/08/24 Poland III Liga	KSS Kotwica Kornik	1-0 HT 0-0	Elana Torun

Standings · Poland III Liga

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Elana Torun	KSS Kotwica Kornik
KKS 1925 Kalisz	1-5 L	2-2 D
Notec Czarnkow	1-3 L	1-1 D
Unia Swarzedz	2-3 L	0-7 L
Grom Nowy Staw	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	0 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Elana Torun

WLLLLLDDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Flota Swinoujscie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	6	4	W
03/10	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	1-0	3-1	4	7	W
26/09	Polonia Sroda Wlkp Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	8	3	D
19/09	Lech Poznan II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
12/09	Kluczevia Stargard Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	3	L
04/09	Wda Swiecie Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	2	7	L
29/08	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	1-2	1-5	–	–	L
22/08	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	0-1	1-3	–	–	L
19/08	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
15/08	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	1-1	2-1	–	–	W

KSS Kotwica Kornik

DLLWWWLLLD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Notec Czarnkow Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
03/10	Unia Swarzedz Poland III Liga	0-2	0-7	8	3	L
26/09	Grom Nowy Staw Poland III Liga	1-2	1-3	1	3	L
19/09	Gedania Gdansk Poland III Liga	1-2	1-6	–	–	L
12/09	Lipno Steszew Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	3	1	W
05/09	Blekitni Stargard Poland III Liga	2-2	4-2	4	5	W
28/08	Chemik Bydgoszcz Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	2	3	W
22/08	Victoria Wrzesnia Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/08	Baltyk Koszalin Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	KKS 1925 Kalisz Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Elana Torun vs KSS Kotwica Kornik?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Elana Torun win (52%). Probabilities: Elana Torun 52%, draw 23%, KSS Kotwica Kornik 25%.

How many goals are expected in Elana Torun vs KSS Kotwica Kornik?

The model expects 3.44 goals (Elana Torun 2.06 · KSS Kotwica Kornik 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Elana Torun vs KSS Kotwica Kornik?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.