Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 18:00

Prediction: KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin

Team pages: KSS Kotwica Kornik

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
KSS Kotwica Kornik1.61
Baltyk Koszalin1.58
1X2
38% 26% 37%
KSS Kotwica Kornik Draw Baltyk Koszalin
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
KSS Kotwica Kornik 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WWWWDWLLLD
Baltyk Koszalin 6-2-2 (W-D-L)
WWWDWWWLDL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · KSS Kotwica Kornik 1500 · Baltyk Koszalin 1525
KSS Kotwica KornikDrawBaltyk Koszalin
Our model38%26%37%
Market38%26%37%
Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

  • High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 8.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KSS Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Goals for / against (FT)2.2 / 1.81.9 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)1 / 0.61.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)50/30/20%80/10/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 52.6 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 0.15.5 / 0.1

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 3300 609
2 Wislanie Jaskowice 3300 619
3 Wisloka Debica 3210 637
4 KSZO Ostrowiec 3210 427
5 Wisla Krakow II 3201 756
6 Czarni Polaniec 3201 436
7 Naprzod Jedrzejow 3201 776
8 Hetman Zamosc 3120 525
9 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 3111 534
10 Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3111 324
11 AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj 3111 564
12 Wieczysta Krakow II 3102 473
13 Moravia Morawica 3102 253
14 JKS Jaroslaw 3012 471
15 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 3012 361
16 Star Starachowice 3012 271
17 Korona Kielce II 3003 7100
18 Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3003 150

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKSS Kotwica KornikBaltyk Koszalin
Flota Swinoujscie 0-2 L 1-2 L
KTS-K Luzino 2-6 L 1-1 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Baltyk Koszalin (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

KSS Kotwica Kornik

WWWWDWLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 KKS 1925 Kalisz
Poland III Liga
1-0 2-2 D
08/08 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-2 L
01/08 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
1-2 2-6 51 L
25/07 Unia Swarzedz
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-2 01 L
04/06 LKS Goluchow
Poland IV Liga
2-1 5-3 62 W
21/03 Obra Koscian
Poland IV Liga
1-1 1-1 85 D
18/10 Huragan Pobiedziska
Poland IV Liga
0-0 1-0 210 W
11/10 Piast Kobylnica
Poland IV Liga
3-1 5-1 42 W
27/09 Mieszko Gniezno
Poland IV Liga
1-0 3-0 82 W
13/09 Kania Gostyn
Poland IV Liga
0-0 2-1 73 W

Baltyk Koszalin

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
15/08 Flota Swinoujscie
Poland III Liga
0-0 1-2 54 L
09/08 KTS-K Luzino
Poland III Liga
1-0 1-1 14 D
01/08 Polonia Sroda Wlkp
Poland III Liga
0-1 0-3 14 L
13/06 Chemik Police
Poland IV Liga
2-0 3-1 23 W
16/05 Astra Ustronie Morskie
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-1 97 W
08/11 Iskierka Szczecin
Poland IV Liga
3-0 3-2 148 W
02/11 Biali Sadow
Poland IV Liga
2-0 2-2 88 D
20/09 Swit Szczecin II
Poland IV Liga
1-0 2-1 45 W
14/09 Gwardia Koszalin
Poland IV Liga
1-0 1-0 47 W
06/09 Ina Goleniow
Poland IV Liga
3-1 4-1 106 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin?

According to our model, the most likely result is a KSS Kotwica Kornik win (38%). Probabilities: KSS Kotwica Kornik 38%, draw 26%, Baltyk Koszalin 37%.

How many goals are expected in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin?

The model expects 3.2 goals (KSS Kotwica Kornik 1.61 · Baltyk Koszalin 1.58), with a 51% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in KSS Kotwica Kornik vs Baltyk Koszalin?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.