Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Chelmianka Chelm · Wislanie Jaskowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Chelmianka Chelm1.75

Wislanie Jaskowice0.75

1X2

60% 25% 15%

Chelmianka Chelm Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Chelmianka Chelm 6-4-0 (W-D-L)

WWDDWDWDWW

Wislanie Jaskowice 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWDLLWDLW

Head-to-head

Chelmianka Chelm 0–3–3 Wislanie Jaskowice (6 last)

Wislanie Jaskowice0-0Chelmianka Chelm
Chelmianka Chelm1-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice3-2Chelmianka Chelm
Chelmianka Chelm1-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-0Chelmianka Chelm
Chelmianka Chelm1-6Wislanie Jaskowice

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1577 vs 1483).
H2H favours Wislanie Jaskowice: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Chelmianka Chelm	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 0.5	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.2	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/60/0%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 5.5	1.8 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0	5.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.77

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.59 → 1.59	Pinn 1.59
X	3.78 → 3.78	Pinn 3.78
2	4.42 → 4.42	Pinn 4.42

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:11 +14’	1.59	3.78	4.42

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelmianka Chelm 0–3–3 Wislanie Jaskowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-0 HT 0-0	Chelmianka Chelm
11/10/25 Poland III Liga	Chelmianka Chelm	1-2 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
07/06/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	3-2 HT 2-1	Chelmianka Chelm
16/11/24 Poland III Liga	Chelmianka Chelm	1-1 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
04/05/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-0 HT 0-0	Chelmianka Chelm
07/10/23 Poland III Liga	Chelmianka Chelm	1-6 HT 1-2	Wislanie Jaskowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Chelmianka Chelm	Wislanie Jaskowice
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	3-0 W	1-2 L
Korona Kielce II	2-0 W	2-1 W
Czarni Polaniec	0-0 D	0-1 L
Star Starachowice	2-1 W	1-2 L
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-1 W	1-1 D
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1-1 D	4-1 W
Wieczysta Krakow II	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 0 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chelmianka Chelm

WWDDWDWDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	3-0	5	4	W
24/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
17/10	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
10/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	–	–	W
04/10	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
26/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
19/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
12/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	–	–	D
05/09	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	6	3	W
29/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W

Wislanie Jaskowice

LLWDLLWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	6	3	W
23/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	1-2	4	6	L
17/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
09/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
03/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelmianka Chelm win (60%). Probabilities: Chelmianka Chelm 60%, draw 25%, Wislanie Jaskowice 15%.

How many goals are expected in Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Chelmianka Chelm 1.75 · Wislanie Jaskowice 0.75), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Chelmianka Chelm vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.