Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II

Team pages: Pogon Sokol Lubaczow · Korona Kielce II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.73Total

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow1.96

Korona Kielce II1.77

1X2

42% 23% 35%

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Draw Korona Kielce II

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Korona Kielce II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 0–2–2 Korona Kielce II (4 last)

Korona Kielce II3-1Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow0-0Korona Kielce II
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow2-2Korona Kielce II
Korona Kielce II2-1Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Korona Kielce II: 2-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	Korona Kielce II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 2.3	1.7 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.7 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.2	2.6 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	6.8 / 0.2	5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.93

Under 3.51.78

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 3.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	2.33 → 2.33	Pinn 2.33
X	3.80 → 3.80	Pinn 3.80
2	2.35 → 2.35	Pinn 2.35

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 11.8%

Time*	1	X	2
02:17 +8’	2.33	3.80	2.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 0–2–2 Korona Kielce II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	3-1 HT 1-1	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow
18/10/25 Poland III Liga	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	0-0 HT 0-0	Korona Kielce II
25/05/25 Poland III Liga	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-2 HT 1-0	Korona Kielce II
02/11/24 Poland III Liga	Korona Kielce II	2-1 HT 1-0	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	Korona Kielce II
Star Starachowice	3-4 L	1-4 L
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-0 W	4-0 W
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0-4 L	2-1 W
Wieczysta Krakow II	1-1 D	1-0 W
Wisloka Debica	1-2 L	0-1 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0-1 L	2-2 D
JKS Jaroslaw	2-5 L	2-6 L
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	2-1 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Korona Kielce II (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pogon Sokol Lubaczow

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-0	3-4	1	10	L
25/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	2	5	W
17/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	–	–	L
10/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	1	7	D
02/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
26/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
19/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	2-2	2-5	3	5	L
12/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	6	9	W
05/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-2	0-3	–	–	L
29/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-0	4-2	–	–	W

Korona Kielce II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/10	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	5	3	L
24/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
17/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	3	14	L
10/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	4-0	4	3	W
03/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
26/09	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	10	2	W
19/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	5	2	L
12/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	7	6	D
05/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	1-3	2-6	5	7	L
29/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pogon Sokol Lubaczow win (42%). Probabilities: Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 42%, draw 23%, Korona Kielce II 35%.

How many goals are expected in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II?

The model expects 3.73 goals (Pogon Sokol Lubaczow 1.96 · Korona Kielce II 1.77), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Pogon Sokol Lubaczow vs Korona Kielce II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.