Football · Poland III Liga · 07/11, 13:00

Prediction: Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Team pages: Naprzod Jedrzejow · Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.63Total

Naprzod Jedrzejow2.42

Podlasie Biala Podlaska1.21

1X2

63% 20% 17%

Naprzod Jedrzejow Draw Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Naprzod Jedrzejow 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

DDWWWWWLDD

Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

DLWLLDLDLL

Head-to-head

Naprzod Jedrzejow 1–1–0 Podlasie Biala Podlaska (2 last)

Naprzod Jedrzejow4-4Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska2-3Naprzod Jedrzejow

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naprzod Jedrzejow (rating 1553 vs 1427).
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.5	0.6 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1	0.2 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 6.5	2.7 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	4.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.75

Under 2.751.97

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 02:25

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.98 → 1.98	Pinn 1.98
X	3.39 → 3.39	Pinn 3.39
2	3.13 → 3.13	Pinn 3.13

See the full journey (1)

Pinnacle margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
02:12 +13’	1.98	3.39	3.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1–1–0 Podlasie Biala Podlaska

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/03/26 Poland III Liga	Naprzod Jedrzejow	4-4 HT 1-2	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
15/08/25 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-3 HT 1-0	Naprzod Jedrzejow

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	15	11	4	0	25	6	37
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	15	8	5	2	27	13	29
3	Wisloka Debica	15	9	2	4	23	17	29
4	Hetman Zamosc	15	7	5	3	28	22	26
5	Naprzod Jedrzejow	15	7	4	4	31	28	25
6	Czarni Polaniec	15	7	4	4	22	20	25
7	Wislanie Jaskowice	15	7	3	5	23	16	24
8	Wisla Krakow II	15	6	4	5	20	20	22
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	15	6	3	6	23	22	21
10	Star Starachowice	15	5	5	5	24	24	20
11	JKS Jaroslaw	15	5	3	7	31	28	18
12	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	15	3	7	5	14	17	16
13	Wieczysta Krakow II	15	4	4	7	15	19	16
14	Korona Kielce II	15	4	2	9	29	35	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	15	4	2	9	20	35	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	15	3	4	8	11	24	13
17	Moravia Morawica	15	3	3	9	19	26	12
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	15	3	2	10	17	30	11

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naprzod Jedrzejow	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	1-1 D	0-2 L
Wieczysta Krakow II	2-2 D	2-1 W
Wisloka Debica	0-4 L	0-1 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naprzod Jedrzejow

DDWWWWWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
24/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
17/10	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-4	0-4	11	2	L
11/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

DLWLLDLDLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-2	0-4	6	6	L
25/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
17/10	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	4	5	D
10/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
01/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
26/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/09	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
06/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
28/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Naprzod Jedrzejow win (63%). Probabilities: Naprzod Jedrzejow 63%, draw 20%, Podlasie Biala Podlaska 17%.

How many goals are expected in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model expects 3.63 goals (Naprzod Jedrzejow 2.42 · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1.21), with a 59% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Naprzod Jedrzejow vs Podlasie Biala Podlaska?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.