Football · Poland III Liga · 23/10, 18:30

Prediction: Wislanie Jaskowice vs Star Starachowice

Team pages: Wislanie Jaskowice · Star Starachowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.84Total

Wislanie Jaskowice1.64

Star Starachowice1.2

1X2

47% 25% 28%

Wislanie Jaskowice Draw Star Starachowice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wislanie Jaskowice 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DWLLWDLLWD

Star Starachowice 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDLDWDLW

Head-to-head

Wislanie Jaskowice 0–4–2 Star Starachowice (6 last)

Star Starachowice2-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-1Star Starachowice
Star Starachowice1-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-1Star Starachowice
Star Starachowice3-0Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-1Star Starachowice

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wislanie Jaskowice 1485 · Star Starachowice 1513

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Draw	Star Starachowice
Our model	46%	27%	27%
Market	48%	24%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Star Starachowice: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Star Starachowice
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.9	2.8 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.7 / 0.2	4.8 / 0.5

Odds Bet365

11.90

X3.75

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.95

2 (+0.5)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.90 → 1.90	Bet365 1.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.55 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.5% Pinnacle margin 12.6%

Time*	1	X	2
12:55 +11’	1.90	3.75	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
06:43 +20’	1.79	3.51	3.55

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Wislanie Jaskowice 0–4–2 Star Starachowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Poland III Liga	Star Starachowice	2-0 HT 1-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
27/09/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 HT 0-1	Star Starachowice
14/03/25 Poland III Liga	Star Starachowice	1-1 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
21/08/24 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 HT 0-1	Star Starachowice
06/04/24 Poland III Liga	Star Starachowice	3-0 HT 1-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
09/09/23 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-1 HT 0-1	Star Starachowice

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	13	6	3	4	20	13	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
11	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
13	Star Starachowice	13	3	5	5	18	20	14
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wislanie Jaskowice	Star Starachowice
Podlasie Biala Podlaska	1-1 D	2-2 D
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	4-1 W	4-1 W
Wieczysta Krakow II	0-1 L	0-0 D
Wisloka Debica	1-2 L	2-3 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	1-1 D	0-0 D
JKS Jaroslaw	3-1 W	0-3 L
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	1-2 L	1-1 D
Czarni Polaniec	0-1 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Star Starachowice (3 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wislanie Jaskowice

DWLLWDLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	8	5	D
09/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
03/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D

Star Starachowice

WDLDLDWDLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	2-1	4-1	3	14	W
10/10	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	1-2	1-2	–	–	L
01/10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	1-0	2-2	2	2	D
26/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	5	7	W
19/09	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	4	D
13/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	1-1	2-3	5	2	L
04/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
29/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	1	4	L
22/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
19/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	7	6	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Star Starachowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wislanie Jaskowice win (47%). Probabilities: Wislanie Jaskowice 47%, draw 25%, Star Starachowice 28%.

How many goals are expected in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Star Starachowice?

The model expects 2.84 goals (Wislanie Jaskowice 1.64 · Star Starachowice 1.2), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wislanie Jaskowice vs Star Starachowice?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.