Football · Poland III Liga · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Wisla Krakow II vs Wisloka Debica

Team pages: Wisla Krakow II · Wisloka Debica

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Wisla Krakow II1.37

Wisloka Debica1.13

1X2

42% 26% 31%

Wisla Krakow II Draw Wisloka Debica

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisla Krakow II 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DWDLLDDLWL

Wisloka Debica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWWWDW

Head-to-head

Wisla Krakow II 1–1–3 Wisloka Debica (5 last)

Wisloka Debica1-0Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II1-2Wisloka Debica
Wisloka Debica0-4Wisla Krakow II
Wisla Krakow II1-1Wisloka Debica
Wisla Krakow II2-3Wisloka Debica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisla Krakow II 1461 · Wisloka Debica 1549

	Wisla Krakow II	Draw	Wisloka Debica
Our model	41%	29%	30%
Market	43%	24%	32%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wisloka Debica (rating 1461 vs 1549).
H2H favours Wisloka Debica: 3-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisla Krakow II	Wisloka Debica
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.3	1.4 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.4	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 5.4	2 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0	3.7 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.05

X3.70

22.75

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.90

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.25

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +5’	2.05	3.70	2.75

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisla Krakow II 1–1–3 Wisloka Debica

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	1-0 HT 0-0	Wisla Krakow II
04/10/25 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	1-2 HT 1-0	Wisloka Debica
03/05/25 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-4 HT 0-1	Wisla Krakow II
21/02/25 Europe Friendlies	Wisla Krakow II	1-1 HT 0-1	Wisloka Debica
05/10/24 Poland III Liga	Wisla Krakow II	2-3 HT 1-2	Wisloka Debica

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	13	9	4	0	20	6	31
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	13	7	5	1	24	10	26
3	Wisloka Debica	13	8	2	3	20	13	26
4	Naprzod Jedrzejow	13	7	2	4	28	25	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	13	6	3	4	20	13	21
6	Czarni Polaniec	13	6	3	4	18	17	21
7	Hetman Zamosc	13	5	5	3	25	22	20
8	JKS Jaroslaw	13	5	2	6	29	25	17
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	13	5	2	6	19	19	17
10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	13	3	7	3	13	13	16
11	Wisla Krakow II	13	4	4	5	15	18	16
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	13	4	3	6	12	15	15
13	Star Starachowice	13	3	5	5	18	20	14
14	Korona Kielce II	13	4	2	7	28	31	14
15	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	13	4	2	7	19	30	14
16	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	13	3	4	6	11	18	13
17	Moravia Morawica	13	2	3	8	13	23	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	13	2	2	9	12	26	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisla Krakow II	Wisloka Debica
Chelmianka Chelm	0-2 L	1-2 L
Naprzod Jedrzejow	0-0 D	4-0 W
Moravia Morawica	1-0 W	0-0 D
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisla Krakow II

DWDLLDDLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	2	4	L
10/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	4	5	W
04/10	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-1	0-3	13	2	L
25/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	1-1	6	2	D
19/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	1-0	3-3	–	–	D
12/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	6	6	L
05/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	2	3	L
30/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	6	D
22/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Wisloka Debica

LLLWWWWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	4-0	4-0	7	2	W
10/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisla Krakow II vs Wisloka Debica?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisla Krakow II win (42%). Probabilities: Wisla Krakow II 42%, draw 26%, Wisloka Debica 31%.

How many goals are expected in Wisla Krakow II vs Wisloka Debica?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Wisla Krakow II 1.37 · Wisloka Debica 1.13), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisla Krakow II vs Wisloka Debica?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.