Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 17:00

Prediction: Wisloka Debica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow

Team pages: Wisloka Debica · Naprzod Jedrzejow

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.87Total

Wisloka Debica1.52

Naprzod Jedrzejow1.35

1X2

41% 26% 33%

Wisloka Debica Draw Naprzod Jedrzejow

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Wisloka Debica 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWWD

Naprzod Jedrzejow 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WLLDDWWWWW

Head-to-head

Wisloka Debica 0–1–1 Naprzod Jedrzejow (2 last)

Wisloka Debica0-1Naprzod Jedrzejow
Naprzod Jedrzejow3-3Wisloka Debica

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wisloka Debica 1525 · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1568

	Wisloka Debica	Draw	Naprzod Jedrzejow
Our model	40%	27%	33%
Market	41%	25%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.87 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Naprzod Jedrzejow (rating 1525 vs 1568).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wisloka Debica	Naprzod Jedrzejow
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.1	2.3 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.3	1.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.5	3.3 / 5.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.20

X3.60

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.90

Under 2.751.90

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:58

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +36’	2.20	3.60	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wisloka Debica 0–1–1 Naprzod Jedrzejow

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/03/26 Poland III Liga	Wisloka Debica	0-1 HT 0-0	Naprzod Jedrzejow
30/08/25 Poland III Liga	Naprzod Jedrzejow	3-3 HT 2-1	Wisloka Debica

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wisloka Debica	Naprzod Jedrzejow
Moravia Morawica	0-0 D	2-4 L
Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	2-1 W	2-1 W
Chelmianka Chelm	1-2 L	0-2 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	2-1 W	1-0 W
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Wisloka Debica (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wisloka Debica

WLLLWWWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
02/10	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
25/09	Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	6	W
19/09	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
13/09	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	1-1	3-2	2	2	W
06/09	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	4	4	W
29/08	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
22/08	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
19/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L
14/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-0	2-1	4	3	W

Naprzod Jedrzejow

WLLDDWWWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	3	3	W
03/10	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-1	3-1	–	–	W
26/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	2-0	4-1	4	5	W
19/09	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	4-1	5-2	–	–	W
12/09	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	2-1	4-2	–	–	W
05/09	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
30/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	8	6	D
23/08	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-2	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-2	2-4	–	–	L
15/08	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wisloka Debica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Wisloka Debica win (41%). Probabilities: Wisloka Debica 41%, draw 26%, Naprzod Jedrzejow 33%.

How many goals are expected in Wisloka Debica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

The model expects 2.87 goals (Wisloka Debica 1.52 · Naprzod Jedrzejow 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wisloka Debica vs Naprzod Jedrzejow?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.