Football · Poland III Liga · 17/10, 14:30

Prediction: Podlasie Biala Podlaska vs Wislanie Jaskowice

Team pages: Podlasie Biala Podlaska · Wislanie Jaskowice

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.71Total

Podlasie Biala Podlaska1.29

Wislanie Jaskowice1.41

1X2

34% 26% 40%

Podlasie Biala Podlaska Draw Wislanie Jaskowice

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Podlasie Biala Podlaska 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WWLDLWLLDL

Wislanie Jaskowice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WDWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2–2–2 Wislanie Jaskowice (6 last)

Wislanie Jaskowice1-2Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska2-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-0Podlasie Biala Podlaska
Podlasie Biala Podlaska2-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Podlasie Biala Podlaska0-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-0Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1483 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1493

	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	Draw	Wislanie Jaskowice
Our model	33%	28%	39%
Market	35%	25%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 12.3 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	Wislanie Jaskowice
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	1.5 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.4	1 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 7	2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.5 / 0	6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.60

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:00

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.4%

Time*	1	X	2
15:44 +16’	2.55	3.60	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Podlasie Biala Podlaska 2–2–2 Wislanie Jaskowice

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 HT 0-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
06/09/25 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-2 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
04/04/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-0 HT 0-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska
07/09/24 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	2-1 HT 1-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
19/05/24 Poland III Liga	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	0-2 HT 0-1	Wislanie Jaskowice
28/10/23 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-0 HT 0-0	Podlasie Biala Podlaska

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	12	9	3	0	20	6	30
2	KSZO Ostrowiec	12	6	5	1	21	9	23
3	Naprzod Jedrzejow	12	7	2	3	28	21	23
4	Wisloka Debica	12	7	2	3	16	13	23
5	Wislanie Jaskowice	12	6	2	4	19	12	20
6	Czarni Polaniec	12	6	2	4	18	17	20
7	JKS Jaroslaw	12	5	2	5	28	22	17
8	Hetman Zamosc	12	4	5	3	21	20	17
9	Wisla Krakow II	12	4	4	4	15	17	16
10	Korona Kielce II	12	4	2	6	27	27	14
11	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	12	4	2	6	15	19	14
12	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	12	4	2	6	17	26	14
13	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	12	2	7	3	12	13	13
14	Wieczysta Krakow II	12	3	3	6	11	15	12
15	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	12	3	3	6	10	17	12
16	Star Starachowice	12	2	5	5	14	19	11
17	Moravia Morawica	12	2	3	7	13	22	9
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	12	2	2	8	12	22	8

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	Wislanie Jaskowice
Siarka Tarnobrzeg	0-2 L	4-1 W
Wieczysta Krakow II	2-1 W	0-1 L
Wisloka Debica	0-1 L	1-2 L
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	0-0 D	1-1 D
JKS Jaroslaw	0-2 L	3-1 W
AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	2-1 W	1-2 L
Czarni Polaniec	2-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Podlasie Biala Podlaska (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Podlasie Biala Podlaska

WWLDLWLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-4	8	3	L
01/10	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	8	2	D
26/09	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	1-2	–	–	L
19/09	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
11/09	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-0	2-1	3	9	W
06/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	9	4	L
28/08	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/08	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
19/08	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	–	–	W
15/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W

Wislanie Jaskowice

WDWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/10	Siarka Tarnobrzeg Poland III Liga	3-0	4-1	4	2	W
03/10	Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	10	10	L
25/09	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	5	6	L
20/09	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	1-1	1-1	2	4	D
12/09	JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga	3-0	3-1	2	5	W
06/09	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj Poland III Liga	1-0	1-2	8	8	L
28/08	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-1	0-1	4	6	L
22/08	Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
19/08	KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	10	7	D
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Podlasie Biala Podlaska vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Wislanie Jaskowice win (40%). Probabilities: Podlasie Biala Podlaska 34%, draw 26%, Wislanie Jaskowice 40%.

How many goals are expected in Podlasie Biala Podlaska vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model expects 2.71 goals (Podlasie Biala Podlaska 1.29 · Wislanie Jaskowice 1.41), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Podlasie Biala Podlaska vs Wislanie Jaskowice?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.