Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 15:00
Prediction: Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Team pages: Chelmianka Chelm · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.78Total
Chelmianka Chelm1.84
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna0.95
1X2
Chelmianka Chelm
Draw
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Chelmianka Chelm
7-3-0 (W-D-L)
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chelmianka Chelm
2–0
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
(2 last)
- Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna0-3Chelmianka Chelm
- Chelmianka Chelm2-1Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chelmianka Chelm (rating 1607 vs 1528).
- H2H favours Chelmianka Chelm: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chelmianka Chelm | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.8 | 1.5 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 40/60/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.5 | 2.4 / 4.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chelmianka Chelm 2–0–0 Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/25 Poland III Liga | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Chelmianka Chelm |
| 09/08/25 Poland III Liga | Chelmianka Chelm | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Hetman Zamosc | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 |
| 8 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 8 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 10 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 10 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 |
| 14 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chelmianka Chelm | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna |
|---|---|---|
| Naprzod Jedrzejow | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Cracovia Krakow II | 3-3 D | 2-1 W |
| KSZO Ostrowiec | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Star Starachowice | 5-2 W | 1-2 L |
| Wislanie Jaskowice | 0-0 D | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 0 L | 3 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chelmianka Chelm (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chelmianka Chelm
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 30/05 | Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 23/05 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 17/05 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-3 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 13/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 09/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 5-2 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 25/04 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
3-1 | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
2-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 11/04 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | JKS Jaroslaw Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 24/07 | Czarni Polaniec Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 22/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 13/05 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 09/05 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 01/05 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 24/04 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 18/04 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chelmianka Chelm win (57%). Probabilities: Chelmianka Chelm 57%, draw 25%, Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 18%.
How many goals are expected in Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
The model expects 2.78 goals (Chelmianka Chelm 1.84 · Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna 0.95), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chelmianka Chelm vs Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.