Football · Poland III Liga · 08/08, 17:00
Prediction: Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.17Total
Siarka Tarnobrzeg1.64
Czarni Polaniec1.53
1X2
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
Draw
Czarni Polaniec
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
0-5-5 (W-D-L)
Czarni Polaniec
4-2-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4–2–0
Czarni Polaniec
(6 last)
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg1-1Czarni Polaniec
- Czarni Polaniec1-5Siarka Tarnobrzeg
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg2-1Czarni Polaniec
- Czarni Polaniec2-4Siarka Tarnobrzeg
- Czarni Polaniec1-1Siarka Tarnobrzeg
- Siarka Tarnobrzeg3-2Czarni Polaniec
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1457 · Czarni Polaniec 1494
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Draw | Czarni Polaniec | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 35% |
| Market | 40% | 25% | 35% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.17 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Siarka Tarnobrzeg: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Czarni Polaniec | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 1.7 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.6 | 0.7 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.5 | 3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.2 | 4.3 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Siarka Tarnobrzeg 4–2–0 Czarni Polaniec
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/04/26 Poland III Liga | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Czarni Polaniec |
| 27/09/25 Poland III Liga | Czarni Polaniec | 1-5 HT 0-3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
| 23/11/24 Poland III Liga | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Czarni Polaniec |
| 03/08/24 Poland III Liga | Czarni Polaniec | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
| 02/03/24 Poland III Liga | Czarni Polaniec | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg |
| 13/08/23 Poland III Liga | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Czarni Polaniec |
Standings · Poland III Liga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wisla Krakow II | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| 2 | Czarni Polaniec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
| 3 | Wislanie Jaskowice | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Naprzod Jedrzejow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 3 |
| 5 | Chelmianka Chelm | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 5 | KSZO Ostrowiec | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | JKS Jaroslaw | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 7 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
| 9 | AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Hetman Zamosc | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 9 | Wisloka Debica | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 |
| 13 | Korona Kielce II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 | Podlasie Biala Podlaska | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | Pogon Sokol Lubaczow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 | Star Starachowice | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 | Wieczysta Krakow II | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 | Moravia Morawica | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | Czarni Polaniec |
|---|---|---|
| Stal Krasnik | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Avia Swidnik | 0-1 L | 2-3 L |
| KSZO Ostrowiec | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Czarni Polaniec (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Hetman Zamosc Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 11/07 | Wisloka Debica Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/05 | Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga |
4-3 | 5-6 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 24/05 | Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 16/05 | Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 13/05 | Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 09/05 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 02/05 | KSZO Ostrowiec Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 18/04 | Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
Czarni Polaniec
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08 | Wieczysta Krakow II Poland III Liga |
1-1 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 24/07 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 11/07 | KSZO Ostrowiec Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 30/05 | Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga |
0-2 | 2-3 | – | – | L |
| 22/05 | Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 16/05 | Star Starachowice Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 13/05 | Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Wislanie Jaskowice Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 01/05 | Swidniczanka Swidnik Poland III Liga |
2-1 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 25/04 | Stal Krasnik Poland III Liga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Siarka Tarnobrzeg win (40%). Probabilities: Siarka Tarnobrzeg 40%, draw 25%, Czarni Polaniec 35%.
How many goals are expected in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec?
The model expects 3.17 goals (Siarka Tarnobrzeg 1.64 · Czarni Polaniec 1.53), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Siarka Tarnobrzeg vs Czarni Polaniec?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.