Football · Poland III Liga · 19/08, 19:46

Prediction: Wislanie Jaskowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec

Team pages: Wislanie Jaskowice · KSZO Ostrowiec

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Wislanie Jaskowice1.15

KSZO Ostrowiec1.43

1X2

30% 27% 43%

Wislanie Jaskowice Draw KSZO Ostrowiec

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wislanie Jaskowice 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

LDLWDLLWWW

KSZO Ostrowiec 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWWLLWDWDW

Head-to-head

Wislanie Jaskowice 1–5 KSZO Ostrowiec (6 last)

Wislanie Jaskowice0-2KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec5-1Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice1-2KSZO Ostrowiec
KSZO Ostrowiec1-0Wislanie Jaskowice
KSZO Ostrowiec0-2Wislanie Jaskowice
Wislanie Jaskowice0-1KSZO Ostrowiec

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wislanie Jaskowice 1501 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1566

	Wislanie Jaskowice	Draw	KSZO Ostrowiec
Our model	29%	29%	42%
Market	31%	25%	44%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours KSZO Ostrowiec (rating 1501 vs 1566).
H2H favours KSZO Ostrowiec: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wislanie Jaskowice	KSZO Ostrowiec
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.2	1.7 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/20/40%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 4.3	2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.6 / 0.1	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.60

22.05

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.80

Under 2.752.00

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:32

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	2.05 → 2.05	Bet365 2.05

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
15:29 +3’	2.90	3.60	2.05

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wislanie Jaskowice 1–0–5 KSZO Ostrowiec

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/02/26 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-2 HT 0-1	KSZO Ostrowiec
15/08/25 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	5-1 HT 2-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
16/05/25 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	1-2 HT 0-0	KSZO Ostrowiec
20/10/24 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	1-0 HT 0-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
31/05/24 Poland III Liga	KSZO Ostrowiec	0-2 HT 0-0	Wislanie Jaskowice
11/11/23 Poland III Liga	Wislanie Jaskowice	0-1 HT 0-0	KSZO Ostrowiec

Standings · Poland III Liga

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Chelmianka Chelm	3	3	0	0	6	0	9
2	Wislanie Jaskowice	3	3	0	0	6	1	9
3	Wisloka Debica	3	2	1	0	6	3	7
4	KSZO Ostrowiec	3	2	1	0	4	2	7
5	Wisla Krakow II	3	2	0	1	7	5	6
6	Czarni Polaniec	3	2	0	1	4	3	6
7	Naprzod Jedrzejow	3	2	0	1	7	7	6
8	Hetman Zamosc	3	1	2	0	5	2	5
9	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	3	1	1	1	5	3	4
10	Podlasie Biala Podlaska	3	1	1	1	3	2	4
11	AKS 1947 Busko-Zdroj	3	1	1	1	5	6	4
12	Wieczysta Krakow II	3	1	0	2	4	7	3
13	Moravia Morawica	3	1	0	2	2	5	3
14	JKS Jaroslaw	3	0	1	2	4	7	1
15	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna	3	0	1	2	3	6	1
16	Star Starachowice	3	0	1	2	2	7	1
17	Korona Kielce II	3	0	0	3	7	10	0
18	Pogon Sokol Lubaczow	3	0	0	3	1	5	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wislanie Jaskowice	KSZO Ostrowiec
Korona Kielce II	1-4 L	3-2 W
Czarni Polaniec	0-1 L	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 0 D 2 L	1 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: KSZO Ostrowiec (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Wislanie Jaskowice

LDLWDLLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Wisla Krakow II Poland III Liga	2-1	2-1	3	9	W
08/08	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	2-0	2-0	–	–	W
02/08	Moravia Morawica Poland III Liga	1-0	2-0	3	5	W
30/05	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	1-2	1-4	12	7	L
22/05	Sokol Kolbuszowa Dolna Poland III Liga	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
16/05	Wisloka Debica Poland III Liga	0-1	2-2	0	1	D
13/05	Naprzod Jedrzejow Poland III Liga	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/05	Czarni Polaniec Poland III Liga	0-0	0-1	4	5	L
01/05	Chelmianka Chelm Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	1	2	D
24/04	Avia Swidnik Poland III Liga	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

KSZO Ostrowiec

WWWLLWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Korona Kielce II Poland III Liga	3-0	3-2	5	5	W
09/08	Star Starachowice Poland III Liga	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
02/08	Podlasie Biala Podlaska Poland III Liga	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
11/07	Czarni Polaniec Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	9	0	D
01/07	Star Starachowice Europe Friendlies	4-0	6-0	3	0	W
09/06	Resovia Rzeszow Poland League II Play-Offs	0-2	0-3	5	5	L
06/06	Resovia Rzeszow Poland League II Play-Offs	0-1	0-1	3	6	L
03/06	KTS-K Luzino Poland III Liga	0-1	2-1	8	3	W
30/05	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka Poland III Liga	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
23/05	Cracovia Krakow II Poland III Liga	0-0	2-1	0	9	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wislanie Jaskowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

According to our model, the most likely result is an KSZO Ostrowiec win (43%). Probabilities: Wislanie Jaskowice 30%, draw 27%, KSZO Ostrowiec 43%.

How many goals are expected in Wislanie Jaskowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Wislanie Jaskowice 1.15 · KSZO Ostrowiec 1.43), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Wislanie Jaskowice vs KSZO Ostrowiec?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.