Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche

Team pages: Elche

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Deportivo La Coruna1.29

Elche1.04

1X2

41% 30% 29%

Deportivo La Coruna Draw Elche

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo La Coruna 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

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Elche 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo La Coruna 2–2–2 Elche (6 last)

Deportivo La Coruna0-4Elche
Elche0-0Deportivo La Coruna
Elche0-1Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna1-3Elche
Elche0-0Deportivo La Coruna
Deportivo La Coruna4-0Elche

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo La Coruna 1563 · Elche 1527

	Deportivo La Coruna	Draw	Elche
Our model	41%	31%	29%
Market	41%	30%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo La Coruna	Elche
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	1.3 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.5	0.9 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.7	2.2 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.2	3.9 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.10

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.95

2 (+0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.05

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.4

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:21 +2’	2.25	3.10	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo La Coruna 2–2–2 Elche

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/06/25 Spain Segunda	Deportivo La Coruna	0-4 HT 0-3	Elche
13/10/24 Spain Segunda	Elche	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo La Coruna
23/06/20 Spain Segunda	Elche	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo La Coruna
10/11/19 Spain Segunda	Deportivo La Coruna	1-3 HT 1-1	Elche
04/06/19 Spain Segunda	Elche	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo La Coruna
12/10/18 Spain Segunda	Deportivo La Coruna	4-0 HT 1-0	Elche

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo La Coruna

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Oviedo Europe Friendlies	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
18/07	Compostela Europe Friendlies	1-0	4-0	5	0	W
31/05	Las Palmas Spain Segunda	1-2	1-2	1	1	L
24/05	Valladolid Spain Segunda	2-0	2-0	3	7	W
17/05	FC Andorra Spain Segunda	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
08/05	Cadiz Spain Segunda	0-0	1-0	9	4	W
01/05	Leganes Spain Segunda	0-0	2-1	9	6	W
25/04	Burgos Spain Segunda	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
20/04	Mirandes Spain Segunda	0-1	3-1	1	5	W
12/04	Huesca Spain Segunda	0-0	1-1	9	5	D

Elche

WWWLDLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Johor Darul Takzim World Club Friendlies	0-0	0-0	6	1	D
18/07	Kaizer Chiefs World Club Friendlies	2-0	2-1	4	3	W
23/05	Girona Spain La Liga	1-0	1-1	1	8	D
17/05	Getafe Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
12/05	Real Betis Spain La Liga	1-1	1-2	1	6	L
09/05	CD Alaves Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	7	9	D
03/05	Celta Vigo Spain La Liga	0-2	1-3	2	3	L
26/04	Oviedo Spain La Liga	2-0	2-1	1	3	W
22/04	Atletico Madrid Spain La Liga	2-2	3-2	13	5	W
11/04	Valencia Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	5	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo La Coruna win (41%). Probabilities: Deportivo La Coruna 41%, draw 30%, Elche 29%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Deportivo La Coruna 1.29 · Elche 1.04), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Elche?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.