Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Team pages: Villarreal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.1Total
Racing Santander1.34
Villarreal1.76
1X2
28% 26% 46%
Racing Santander Draw Villarreal
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Santander 6-3-1 (W-D-L)
WWDWWWDWDL
Villarreal 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDWWDLLWLW
Head-to-head
Racing Santander 1–0 Villarreal (1 last)
  • Racing Santander2-1Villarreal
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Santander 1564 · Villarreal 1521
Racing SantanderDrawVillarreal
Our model28%25%46%
Market27%27%45%
Estimated total (ours) 3.1 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Racing Santander (rating 1564 vs 1521).
  • High corners: 10.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Racing SantanderVillarreal
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.12.1 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.9 / 0.51.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)40/30/30%50/40/10%
Corners (HT / FT)3.5 / 61.8 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.1 / 0.43.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Santander 100 Villarreal

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/12/25
Spain Copa del Rey
Racing Santander2-1
HT 2-0
Villarreal

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Athletic Bilbao 000 000
1 Atletico Madrid 000 000
1 Osasuna 000 000
1 Elche 000 000
1 CD Alaves 000 000
1 Espanyol 000 000
1 Barcelona 000 000
1 Getafe 000 000
1 Levante 000 000
1 Malaga 000 000
1 Racing Santander 000 000
1 Rayo Vallecano 000 000
1 Celta Vigo 000 000
1 Deportivo La Coruna 000 000
1 Real Betis 000 000
1 Real Madrid 000 000
1 Real Sociedad 000 000
1 Sevilla 000 000
1 Valencia 000 000
1 Villarreal 000 000

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Santander

WWDWWWDWDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/07 Osasuna
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 43 L
18/07 Real Sociedad
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 61 D
31/05 Cadiz
Spain Segunda
3-0 4-1 30 W
24/05 Malaga
Spain Segunda
0-1 1-1 76 D
16/05 Valladolid
Spain Segunda
1-1 4-1 62 W
10/05 Leganes
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-1 38 W
03/05 Huesca
Spain Segunda
0-1 4-2 123 W
26/04 AD Ceuta FC
Spain Segunda
0-0 0-0 96 D
17/04 Real Sociedad B
Spain Segunda
2-0 3-1 28 W
12/04 Almeria
Spain Segunda
2-1 5-1 88 W

Villarreal

WDWWDLLWLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
25/07 PSV
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 3-1 23 W
17/07 Benfica
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 22 L
24/05 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
4-1 5-1 51 W
17/05 Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-2 93 L
13/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
2-2 2-3 63 L
10/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-1 42 D
02/05 Levante
Spain La Liga
1-0 5-1 74 W
26/04 Celta Vigo
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-1 78 W
23/04 Oviedo
Spain La Liga
1-0 1-1 02 D
12/04 Athletic Bilbao
Spain La Liga
2-0 2-1 35 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Villarreal win (46%). Probabilities: Racing Santander 28%, draw 26%, Villarreal 46%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

The model expects 3.1 goals (Racing Santander 1.34 · Villarreal 1.76), with a 55% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.