Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: Racing Santander vs Villarreal

Team pages: Racing Santander · Villarreal

Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.04Total
Racing Santander1.31
Villarreal1.73
1X2
28% 26% 46%
Racing Santander Draw Villarreal
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Racing Santander 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWDWDLLLWD
Villarreal 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WDLLWLWLWW
Head-to-head
Racing Santander 1–0 Villarreal (1 last)
  • Racing Santander2-1Villarreal
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Racing Santander 1512 · Villarreal 1522
Racing SantanderDrawVillarreal
Our model28%26%46%
Market28%26%46%
Estimated total (ours) 3.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Racing SantanderVillarreal
Goals for / against (FT)1.7 / 1.52 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)0.8 / 0.71.1 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/20/50%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.7 / 4.82.8 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.5 / 0.22.6 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Racing Santander 100 Villarreal

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DateHomeScoreAway
17/12/25
Spain Copa del Rey
Racing Santander2-1
HT 2-0
Villarreal

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 CD Alaves 110 303
2 Sevilla 110 213
3 Athletic Bilbao 000 000
3 Atletico Madrid 000 000
3 Osasuna 000 000
3 Elche 000 000
3 Espanyol 000 000
3 Barcelona 000 000
3 Levante 000 000
3 Malaga 000 000
3 Racing Santander 000 000
3 Celta Vigo 000 000
3 Deportivo A Coruna 000 000
3 Real Betis 000 000
3 Real Madrid 000 000
3 Real Sociedad 000 000
3 Valencia 000 000
3 Villarreal 000 000
19 Rayo Vallecano 101 120
20 Getafe 101 030

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Racing Santander

WWDWDLLLWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 CD Alaves
Elite Club Friendlies
0-1 1-1 64 D
07/08 Sporting Gijon
Europe Friendlies
3-1 4-1 50 W
01/08 Wolverhampton
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 62 L
29/07 Athletic Bilbao
Europe Friendlies
0-1 0-3 21 L
24/07 Osasuna
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 43 L
18/07 Real Sociedad
Europe Friendlies
0-1 1-1 61 D
31/05 Cadiz
Spain Segunda
3-0 4-1 30 W
24/05 Malaga
Spain Segunda
0-1 1-1 76 D
16/05 Valladolid
Spain Segunda
1-1 4-1 62 W
10/05 Leganes
Spain Segunda
1-0 2-1 38 W

Villarreal

WDLLWLWLWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 Galatasaray
Europe Friendlies
2-1 2-1 73 W
05/08 Levante
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 1-0 51 W
01/08 Lens
Elite Club Friendlies
1-1 1-3 56 L
25/07 PSV
Elite Club Friendlies
0-0 3-1 23 W
17/07 Benfica
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-2 22 L
24/05 Atletico Madrid
Spain La Liga
4-1 5-1 51 W
17/05 Rayo Vallecano
Spain La Liga
0-1 0-2 93 L
13/05 Sevilla
Spain La Liga
2-2 2-3 63 L
10/05 Mallorca
Spain La Liga
1-1 1-1 42 D
02/05 Levante
Spain La Liga
1-0 5-1 74 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Villarreal win (46%). Probabilities: Racing Santander 28%, draw 26%, Villarreal 46%.

How many goals are expected in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

The model expects 3.04 goals (Racing Santander 1.31 · Villarreal 1.73), with a 50% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Racing Santander vs Villarreal?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.