Football · Spain La Liga · 16/08, 17:00

Prediction: CD Alaves vs Getafe

Team pages: CD Alaves · Getafe

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

CD Alaves1.1

Getafe0.85

1X2

40% 34% 27%

CD Alaves Draw Getafe

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 60% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

0-0

Recent form · 10 last

CD Alaves 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLDWWLDW

Getafe 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WLLDWLWWWD

Head-to-head

CD Alaves 1–1–4 Getafe (6 last)

CD Alaves0-2Getafe
Getafe1-1CD Alaves
CD Alaves0-1Getafe
Getafe2-0CD Alaves
CD Alaves1-0Getafe
Getafe1-0CD Alaves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · CD Alaves 1499 · Getafe 1532

	CD Alaves	Draw	Getafe
Our model	40%	34%	27%
Market	40%	34%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 66%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Getafe: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	CD Alaves	Getafe
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.4	0.8 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.7	1.9 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.1	4.6 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

12.35

X2.75

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.00

2 (+0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 1.751.95

Under 1.751.90

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.15

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:23

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.35 → 2.35	Bet365 2.35
X	2.75 → 2.75	Bet365 2.75
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 7.5%

Time*	1	X	2
21:21 +1’	2.35	2.75	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Alaves 1–1–4 Getafe

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/02/26 Spain La Liga	CD Alaves	0-2 HT 0-0	Getafe
24/09/25 Spain La Liga	Getafe	1-1 HT 0-0	CD Alaves
09/02/25 Spain La Liga	CD Alaves	0-1 HT 0-1	Getafe
28/09/24 Spain La Liga	Getafe	2-0 HT 1-0	CD Alaves
18/05/24 Spain La Liga	CD Alaves	1-0 HT 1-0	Getafe
28/08/23 Spain La Liga	Getafe	1-0 HT 0-0	CD Alaves

Standings · Spain La Liga

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#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Athletic Bilbao	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Atletico Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Osasuna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Elche	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	CD Alaves	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Espanyol	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Barcelona	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Levante	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Malaga	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Racing Santander	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Rayo Vallecano	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Celta Vigo	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Deportivo La Coruna	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Betis	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Madrid	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Real Sociedad	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Sevilla	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Valencia	0	0	0	0	0	0
1	Villarreal	0	0	0	0	0	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	CD Alaves	Getafe
Rayo Vallecano	1-2 L	0-2 L
Oviedo	1-0 W	0-0 D
Barcelona	1-0 W	0-2 L
Elche	1-1 D	0-1 L
Mallorca	2-1 W	3-1 W
Real Sociedad	3-3 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: CD Alaves (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

CD Alaves

DLWLDWWLDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Girona Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
18/07	Eibar Europe Friendlies	0-1	1-1	9	1	D
23/05	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	1-0	1-2	10	6	L
17/05	Oviedo Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	2	4	W
13/05	Barcelona Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	6	3	W
09/05	Elche Spain La Liga	0-0	1-1	3	9	D
02/05	Athletic Bilbao Spain La Liga	1-0	2-4	4	6	L
25/04	Mallorca Spain La Liga	0-1	2-1	9	3	W
21/04	Real Madrid Spain La Liga	0-1	1-2	6	2	L
11/04	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	2-2	3-3	5	6	D

Getafe

WLLDWLWWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Valladolid Elite Club Friendlies	0-0	0-0	–	–	D
22/07	Tenerife Elite Club Friendlies	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
17/07	Reading Europe Friendlies	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
23/05	Osasuna Spain La Liga	0-0	1-0	2	2	W
17/05	Elche Spain La Liga	0-1	0-1	0	3	L
13/05	Mallorca Spain La Liga	2-0	3-1	3	7	W
10/05	Oviedo Spain La Liga	0-0	0-0	9	6	D
03/05	Rayo Vallecano Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	4	8	L
25/04	Barcelona Spain La Liga	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
22/04	Real Sociedad Spain La Liga	1-0	1-0	3	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in CD Alaves vs Getafe?

According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Alaves win (40%). Probabilities: CD Alaves 40%, draw 34%, Getafe 27%.

How many goals are expected in CD Alaves vs Getafe?

The model expects 1.96 goals (CD Alaves 1.1 · Getafe 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 1.75 goals.

Will both teams score in CD Alaves vs Getafe?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.