Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/07, 21:45
Prediction: Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.22Total
Gimnasia Mendoza1.45
Central Cordoba0.77
1X2
Gimnasia Mendoza
Draw
Central Cordoba
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Gimnasia Mendoza
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Central Cordoba
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Gimnasia Mendoza
2–1–2
Central Cordoba
(5 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gimnasia Mendoza 1509 · Central Cordoba 1459
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Draw | Central Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 29% | 19% |
| Market | 52% | 29% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.22 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Gimnasia Mendoza (rating 1509 vs 1459).
- Cards-heavy: 10.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Gimnasia Mendoza | Central Cordoba | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.3 | 1 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/70/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.1 | 1.5 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6 / 0.1 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gimnasia Mendoza 2–1–2 Central Cordoba
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Central Cordoba | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
| 09/02/19 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Mendoza | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 17/04/18 Argentina Torneo A | Gimnasia Mendoza | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Central Cordoba |
| 01/11/15 Argentina Nacional B | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Central Cordoba |
| 13/06/15 Argentina Nacional B | Central Cordoba | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gimnasia Mendoza |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group A
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Central Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Independiente | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Lanus | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Platense | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | San Lorenzo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Talleres de Córdoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Defensa y Justicia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Deportivo Riestra | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Instituto AC Cordoba | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Newell's | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Union Santa Fe | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Gimnasia Mendoza | Central Cordoba |
|---|---|---|
| Defensa y Justicia | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Lanus | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Platense | 1-1 D | 4-3 W |
| Velez Sarsfield | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Newell's | 0-1 L | 1-3 L |
| Estudiantes LP | 1-2 L | 0-5 L |
| Deportivo Riestra | 0-0 D | 1-0 W |
| Boca Juniors | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Gimnasia Mendoza (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gimnasia Mendoza
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/04 | Independiente Rivadavia Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 21/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 15/04 | Gimnasia y Tiro Argentina Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 12/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/04 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-2 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 21/03 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 18/03 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 12/03 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 28/02 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Central Cordoba
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05 | Boca Juniors Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 25/04 | Lanus Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 20/04 | Platense Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-1 | 4-3 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/04 | Velez Sarsfield Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 06/04 | Newell's Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/03 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-5 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Riestra Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 12/03 | Defensa y Justicia Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 01/03 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 24/02 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Gimnasia Mendoza win (52%). Probabilities: Gimnasia Mendoza 52%, draw 29%, Central Cordoba 19%.
How many goals are expected in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba?
The model expects 2.22 goals (Gimnasia Mendoza 1.45 · Central Cordoba 0.77), with a 56% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Gimnasia Mendoza vs Central Cordoba?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.