Football · Argentina Liga Profesional · 24/07, 00:30
Prediction: Belgrano vs Rosario Central
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.16Total
Belgrano1.16
Rosario Central1
1X2
Belgrano
Draw
Rosario Central
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Belgrano
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Rosario Central
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Belgrano
1–3–2
Rosario Central
(6 last)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Belgrano 1558 · Rosario Central 1520
| Belgrano | Draw | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 32% | 30% |
| Market | 37% | 34% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.16 goals · Bet365 line 1.75 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Rosario Central: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Belgrano | Rosario Central | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.2 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.6 | 5.5 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Belgrano 1–3–2 Rosario Central
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 14/12/24 Argentina Liga Profesional | Rosario Central | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Belgrano |
| 29/07/23 Argentina Liga Profesional | Belgrano | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Rosario Central |
| 02/03/19 Argentina Superliga | Rosario Central | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Belgrano |
| 14/01/19 Argentina Torneo De Verano | Rosario Central | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Belgrano |
| 07/04/18 Argentina Superliga | Rosario Central | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Belgrano |
Standings · Argentina Liga Profesional · Primera LPF 2026, Clausura, Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Argentinos Jrs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Atlético Tucumán | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Aldosivi | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Banfield | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Belgrano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Huracan | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | River Plate | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Rosario Central | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Sarmiento | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | CA Tigre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Gimnasia LP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Independiente Rivadavia | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Racing Club | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Belgrano
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | Gimnasia Jujuy Argentina Cup |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 24/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Argentinos Jrs Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 13/05 | Union Santa Fe Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | CA Talleres de Córdoba Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 03/05 | Sarmiento Argentina Liga Profesional |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Gimnasia LP Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 20/04 | Barracas Central Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 11/04 | Aldosivi Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 05/04 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 4 | L |
Rosario Central
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/05 | Estudiantes LP Argentina Cup |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 28/05 | Independiente del Valle Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 20/05 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | River Plate Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 13/05 | Racing Club Argentina Liga Profesional |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | CA Independiente Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 06/05 | Libertad Asuncion Copa Libertadores |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/05 | CA Tigre Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 5 | D |
| 29/04 | UCV Copa Libertadores |
1-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/04 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto Argentina Liga Profesional |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Belgrano vs Rosario Central?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Belgrano win (38%). Probabilities: Belgrano 38%, draw 33%, Rosario Central 29%.
How many goals are expected in Belgrano vs Rosario Central?
The model expects 2.16 goals (Belgrano 1.16 · Rosario Central 1), with a 54% chance of over 1.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Belgrano vs Rosario Central?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.