Football · Finland Kolmonen · 11/08, 17:00

Prediction: VPV Pallo-Veikot vs FC Kiisto

Team pages: VPV Pallo-Veikot · FC Kiisto

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.25Total

VPV Pallo-Veikot1.05

FC Kiisto2.2

1X2

17% 20% 63%

VPV Pallo-Veikot Draw FC Kiisto

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

VPV Pallo-Veikot 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWLLWW

FC Kiisto 6-2-2 (W-D-L)

WWDLWWDLWW

Head-to-head

VPV Pallo-Veikot 1–1–4 FC Kiisto (6 last)

FC Kiisto2-0VPV Pallo-Veikot
VPV Pallo-Veikot0-1FC Kiisto
FC Kiisto9-1VPV Pallo-Veikot
FC Kiisto2-0VPV Pallo-Veikot
VPV Pallo-Veikot2-2FC Kiisto
VPV Pallo-Veikot1-0FC Kiisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1509 · FC Kiisto 1582

	VPV Pallo-Veikot	Draw	FC Kiisto
Our model	16%	21%	62%
Market	18%	18%	64%

Estimated total (ours) 3.25 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Kiisto (rating 1509 vs 1582).
H2H favours FC Kiisto: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	VPV Pallo-Veikot	FC Kiisto
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 1.4	2.5 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.9 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	44/33/22%	29/57/14%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.4	2.4 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.00

X5.00

21.40

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.82

2 (-1.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.93

Under 3.751.88

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.25▲	Bet365 5.25
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	1.40 → 1.38▼	Bet365 1.38

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
19:02 +6’	5.00	5.00	1.40
22:11 +2’	5.25▲	5.00	1.38▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 3.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

Our recommendation on this match 1 odds move recorded

Go premium to see the odds journey

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · VPV Pallo-Veikot 1–1–4 FC Kiisto

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	2-0 HT 0-0	VPV Pallo-Veikot
21/08/25 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	0-1 HT 0-1	FC Kiisto
29/05/25 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	9-1	VPV Pallo-Veikot
31/07/24 Finland Kolmonen	FC Kiisto	2-0 HT 1-0	VPV Pallo-Veikot
08/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	2-2 HT 0-1	FC Kiisto
02/08/23 Finland Kolmonen	VPV Pallo-Veikot	1-0 HT 0-0	FC Kiisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Western, Group 3

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	VIFK	13	10	2	1	38	10	32
2	FC Kiisto	14	9	3	2	39	17	30
3	Virkia	13	7	2	4	25	19	23
4	FC Ylivieska	13	6	2	5	31	30	20
5	VPV Pallo-Veikot	13	6	2	5	18	18	20
6	SIF	14	5	3	6	23	26	18
7	SJK-j	14	4	4	6	21	23	16
8	Sporting Kristina	13	4	3	6	16	18	15
9	LBK	14	5	0	9	21	36	15
10	Nykarleby IK	13	3	4	6	17	32	13
11	KPV Akatemia	14	2	1	11	27	47	7

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	VPV Pallo-Veikot	FC Kiisto
Sporting Kristina	2-1 W	2-1 W
LBK	2-3 L	5-0 W
Virkia	1-0 W	3-3 D
SJK-j	2-0 W	2-1 W
SIF	1-1 D	5-1 W
FC Ylivieska	0-4 L	0-1 L
Nykarleby IK	1-1 D	0-0 D
Sääripotku	6-2 W	2-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 2 D 2 L	5 W 2 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

VPV Pallo-Veikot

WDLDWWLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	1	6	W
04/08	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	5	2	W
30/07	LBK Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-3	3	4	L
23/07	KPV Akatemia Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	7	4	L
16/07	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
02/07	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/06	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
17/06	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-4	0	3	L
11/06	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-1	2	3	D
04/06	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	6-2	–	–	W

FC Kiisto

WWDLWWDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	SJK-j Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
30/07	SIF Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	5	W
23/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-1	15	3	L
16/07	Nykarleby IK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	2	D
07/07	FC Ylivieska Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-1	7	1	W
03/07	Sääripotku Finland Kolmonen	–	2-0	–	–	W
25/06	VIFK Finland Kolmonen	–	1-2	–	–	L
17/06	Virkia Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-3	2	1	D
10/06	Sporting Kristina Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	3	6	W
04/06	LBK Finland Kolmonen	0-0	5-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs FC Kiisto?

According to our model, the most likely result is an FC Kiisto win (63%). Probabilities: VPV Pallo-Veikot 17%, draw 20%, FC Kiisto 63%.

How many goals are expected in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs FC Kiisto?

The model expects 3.25 goals (VPV Pallo-Veikot 1.05 · FC Kiisto 2.2), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in VPV Pallo-Veikot vs FC Kiisto?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.