Football · Denmark Division 2 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: FC Roskilde vs Skive

Team pages: FC Roskilde · Skive

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.85Total

FC Roskilde1.75

Skive1.1

1X2

52% 25% 23%

FC Roskilde Draw Skive

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

FC Roskilde 4-6-0 (W-D-L)

DWDDDWDWDW

Skive 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLDDWLW

Head-to-head

FC Roskilde 2–4–0 Skive (6 last)

Skive1-1FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde1-1Skive
Skive1-2FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde1-1Skive
Skive1-2FC Roskilde
FC Roskilde1-1Skive

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FC Roskilde 1583 · Skive 1480

	FC Roskilde	Draw	Skive
Our model	52%	26%	23%
Market	52%	25%	23%

Estimated total (ours) 2.85 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FC Roskilde (rating 1583 vs 1480).
H2H favours FC Roskilde: 2-4-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	FC Roskilde	Skive
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 6.3	2 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0.2	5.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.73

X3.60

23.90

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)2.00

2 (+0.75)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.95

Under 2.751.85

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:49 +5’	1.73	3.60	3.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · FC Roskilde 2–4–0 Skive

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/11/25 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-1 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
06/09/25 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	1-1 HT 1-0	Skive
21/10/23 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-2 HT 0-0	FC Roskilde
26/08/23 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	1-1 HT 1-1	Skive
20/05/23 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-2 HT 0-2	FC Roskilde
16/04/23 Denmark Division 2	FC Roskilde	1-1 HT 0-1	Skive

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	10	6	4	0	25	11	22
2	VSK Arhus	10	5	3	2	14	7	18
3	Middelfart	10	4	5	1	18	10	17
4	FC Roskilde	9	3	6	0	16	10	15
5	B93 Copenhagen	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14	12	15
7	Skive	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	3	5	2	13	15	14
9	Brabrand	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
10	Hellerup IK	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
11	FA 2000	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
12	Thisted FC	9	1	1	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	FC Roskilde	Skive
Thisted FC	2-0 W	1-0 W
Hellerup IK	1-1 D	2-0 W
FA 2000	5-1 W	2-2 D
Brabrand	1-1 D	3-1 W
VSK Arhus	1-0 W	0-1 L
Nykobing	2-2 D	2-3 L
Fremad Amager	1-1 D	0-2 L
Middelfart	1-1 D	0-0 D
B93 Copenhagen	2-1 W	2-1 W
Naestved	2-2 D	1-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 6 D 0 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: FC Roskilde (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FC Roskilde

DWDDDWDWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
25/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	8	6	D
18/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	5-1	5	3	W
13/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	8	D
05/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	10	4	W
28/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	10	6	D
21/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	–	–	D
15/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
07/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-1	–	–	W
31/07	Naestved Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-2	–	–	D

Skive

WLLWLDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
18/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
13/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
05/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	6	7	D
30/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-3	–	–	L
01/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FC Roskilde vs Skive?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FC Roskilde win (52%). Probabilities: FC Roskilde 52%, draw 25%, Skive 23%.

How many goals are expected in FC Roskilde vs Skive?

The model expects 2.85 goals (FC Roskilde 1.75 · Skive 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in FC Roskilde vs Skive?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.