Football · Denmark Division 2 · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: Fremad Amager vs Nykobing

Team pages: Fremad Amager · Nykobing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.06Total

Fremad Amager1.21

Nykobing1.85

1X2

24% 24% 52%

Fremad Amager Draw Nykobing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 63% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Fremad Amager 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDDDWDWLL

Nykobing 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

WWWDWWWDDW

Head-to-head

Fremad Amager 3–3–0 Nykobing (6 last)

Nykobing2-2Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager2-0Nykobing
Fremad Amager3-3Nykobing
Fremad Amager2-1Nykobing
Nykobing1-1Fremad Amager
Nykobing0-2Fremad Amager

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremad Amager 1501 · Nykobing 1575

	Fremad Amager	Draw	Nykobing
Our model	24%	25%	51%
Market	24%	24%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1501 vs 1575).
H2H favours Fremad Amager: 3-3-0.
High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremad Amager	Nykobing
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.4	2.6 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	1.5 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.3	3.9 / 6.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.1 / 0	3.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.70

X3.70

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.80

2 (-0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.70▲	Bet365 3.70
X	3.60 → 3.70▲	Pinn 3.97 ★
2	1.83 → 1.73▼	Pinn 1.79

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
11:40 +27’	3.40	3.60	1.83
14:05 +3’	3.70▲	3.70▲	1.73▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +27’	3.55	3.97	1.79
14:46 +23’	3.64▲	4.01▲	1.76▼
16:53 +13’	3.56▼	3.97▼	1.79▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremad Amager 3–3–0 Nykobing

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
31/07/26 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	2-2 HT 0-0	Fremad Amager
14/02/26 Europe Friendlies	Fremad Amager	2-0 HT 1-0	Nykobing
01/03/25 Europe Friendlies	Fremad Amager	3-3 HT 1-1	Nykobing
15/11/24 Denmark Division 2	Fremad Amager	2-1 HT 0-0	Nykobing
10/09/24 Denmark Cup	Nykobing	1-1 HT 0-0	Fremad Amager
06/09/24 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	0-2 HT 0-0	Fremad Amager

Standings · Denmark Division 2

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	11	7	4	0	28	12	25
2	FC Roskilde	11	5	6	0	21	10	21
3	B93 Copenhagen	11	5	3	3	19	14	18
4	VSK Arhus	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	Middelfart	11	4	5	2	19	13	17
6	Naestved	11	3	7	1	15	13	16
7	Skive	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
8	Fremad Amager	11	3	5	3	13	16	14
9	Brabrand	11	3	3	5	13	18	12
10	Hellerup IK	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	FA 2000	11	1	3	7	11	23	6
12	Thisted FC	11	1	2	8	9	22	5

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremad Amager	Nykobing
Brabrand	0-1 L	1-1 D
B93 Copenhagen	0-3 L	4-0 W
FA 2000	2-1 W	3-1 W
Naestved	1-1 D	1-1 D
Hellerup IK	2-1 W	3-0 W
Middelfart	1-1 D	3-2 W
Thisted FC	2-2 D	3-0 W
FC Roskilde	1-1 D	2-2 D
Skive	2-0 W	3-2 W
VSK Arhus	0-3 L	3-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 3 L	7 W 3 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Nykobing (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fremad Amager

LWDDDWDWLL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
02/10	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
26/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
18/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
11/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
05/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
28/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D
14/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-0	–	–	W
08/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-3	–	–	L

Nykobing

WWWDWWWDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
11/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
02/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
18/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	11	1	W
06/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	3-0	3-0	9	1	W
28/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
22/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	3-0	4-0	–	–	W
08/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-2	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremad Amager vs Nykobing?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nykobing win (52%). Probabilities: Fremad Amager 24%, draw 24%, Nykobing 52%.

How many goals are expected in Fremad Amager vs Nykobing?

The model expects 3.06 goals (Fremad Amager 1.21 · Nykobing 1.85), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremad Amager vs Nykobing?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.