Football · Denmark Division 2 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Brabrand vs Hellerup IK

Team pages: Brabrand · Hellerup IK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Brabrand1.63

Hellerup IK1.19

1X2

47% 26% 27%

Brabrand Draw Hellerup IK

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Brabrand 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LLWDLDLDWW

Hellerup IK 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

DWLLWLLDLD

Head-to-head

Brabrand 2–4 Hellerup IK (6 last)

Hellerup IK2-1Brabrand
Brabrand2-0Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK4-0Brabrand
Hellerup IK0-1Brabrand
Brabrand0-1Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK4-3Brabrand

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Brabrand 1533 · Hellerup IK 1447

	Brabrand	Draw	Hellerup IK
Our model	47%	27%	27%
Market	47%	26%	27%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Brabrand (rating 1533 vs 1447).
H2H favours Hellerup IK: 4-0-2.
High corners: 12.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Brabrand	Hellerup IK
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.5	0.9 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.6 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.5	2.7 / 6.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.91

X3.50

23.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.98

2 (+0.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.85

Under 2.51.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.91 → 1.91	Pinn 1.96 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.52
2	3.30 → 3.30	Pinn 3.35

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
13:49 +25’	1.91	3.50	3.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:52 +22’	1.96	3.52	3.35

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Brabrand 2–0–4 Hellerup IK

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	2-1 HT 1-1	Brabrand
01/11/25 Denmark Division 2	Brabrand	2-0 HT 2-0	Hellerup IK
24/08/25 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	4-0 HT 2-0	Brabrand
25/05/24 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	0-1 HT 0-1	Brabrand
13/04/24 Denmark Division 2	Brabrand	0-1 HT 0-0	Hellerup IK
06/04/24 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	4-3 HT 2-2	Brabrand

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	11	7	4	0	28	12	25
2	FC Roskilde	11	5	6	0	21	10	21
3	B93 Copenhagen	11	5	3	3	19	14	18
4	VSK Arhus	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	Middelfart	11	4	5	2	19	13	17
6	Naestved	11	3	7	1	15	13	16
7	Skive	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
8	Fremad Amager	11	3	5	3	13	16	14
9	Brabrand	11	3	3	5	13	18	12
10	Hellerup IK	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	FA 2000	11	1	3	7	11	23	6
12	Thisted FC	11	1	2	8	9	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Brabrand	Hellerup IK
Fremad Amager	1-0 W	1-2 L
Nykobing	1-1 D	0-3 L
Thisted FC	1-3 L	1-1 D
FC Roskilde	1-1 D	1-1 D
B93 Copenhagen	1-1 D	0-3 L
FA 2000	4-2 W	2-1 W
Naestved	0-1 L	1-1 D
Middelfart	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 3 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Brabrand (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Brabrand

LLWDLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	1	W
02/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	8	6	D
20/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-3	11	2	L
13/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	8	D
05/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	6	5	L
29/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
22/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-0	4-2	–	–	W
14/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	–	–	L
07/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-4	–	–	L

Hellerup IK

DWLLWLLDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
11/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
05/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
21/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Brabrand vs Hellerup IK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Brabrand win (47%). Probabilities: Brabrand 47%, draw 26%, Hellerup IK 27%.

How many goals are expected in Brabrand vs Hellerup IK?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Brabrand 1.63 · Hellerup IK 1.19), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Brabrand vs Hellerup IK?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.