Football · Denmark Division 2 · 16/10, 19:00

Prediction: Naestved vs B93 Copenhagen

Team pages: Naestved · B93 Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.64Total

Naestved1.23

B93 Copenhagen1.41

1X2

32% 27% 41%

Naestved Draw B93 Copenhagen

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Naestved 3-6-1 (W-D-L)

DWLWDWDDDD

B93 Copenhagen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

LLWDDDLWWW

Head-to-head

Naestved 1–2–3 B93 Copenhagen (6 last)

B93 Copenhagen1-1Naestved
B93 Copenhagen2-0Naestved
Naestved1-0B93 Copenhagen
B93 Copenhagen2-0Naestved
B93 Copenhagen0-0Naestved
Naestved0-1B93 Copenhagen

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Naestved 1514 · B93 Copenhagen 1529

	Naestved	Draw	B93 Copenhagen
Our model	31%	29%	40%
Market	33%	25%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.64 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours B93 Copenhagen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Naestved	B93 Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.1	1.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.3	0.8 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/40/20%	50/20/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 2.9	2 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.70

X3.60

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.82

2 (-0.25)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 14:08

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70
X	3.60 → 3.60	Pinn 3.64
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.48 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
14:01 +7’	2.70	3.60	2.15

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
14:00 +8’	2.42	3.64	2.48

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Naestved 1–2–3 B93 Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
04/09/26 Denmark Division 2	B93 Copenhagen	1-1 HT 1-0	Naestved
04/02/26 Europe Friendlies	B93 Copenhagen	2-0 HT 1-0	Naestved
03/05/24 Denmark Division 1	Naestved	1-0 HT 1-0	B93 Copenhagen
19/04/24 Denmark Division 1	B93 Copenhagen	2-0 HT 1-0	Naestved
24/02/24 Denmark Division 1	B93 Copenhagen	0-0 HT 0-0	Naestved
22/08/23 Denmark Division 1	Naestved	0-1 HT 0-1	B93 Copenhagen

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	11	7	4	0	28	12	25
2	FC Roskilde	11	5	6	0	21	10	21
3	B93 Copenhagen	11	5	3	3	19	14	18
4	VSK Arhus	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	Middelfart	11	4	5	2	19	13	17
6	Naestved	11	3	7	1	15	13	16
7	Skive	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
8	Fremad Amager	11	3	5	3	13	16	14
9	Brabrand	11	3	3	5	13	18	12
10	Hellerup IK	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	FA 2000	11	1	3	7	11	23	6
12	Thisted FC	11	1	2	8	9	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Naestved	B93 Copenhagen
Nykobing	1-1 D	0-4 L
Middelfart	2-2 D	3-1 W
Fremad Amager	1-1 D	3-0 W
Thisted FC	3-1 W	1-0 W
Skive	2-1 W	1-2 L
VSK Arhus	0-2 L	2-2 D
Brabrand	1-0 W	1-1 D
Hellerup IK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 2 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Naestved

DWLWDWDDDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	2	4	D
02/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	3	6	D
27/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-2	2	2	D
18/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	6	5	D
13/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	3	4	W
04/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	1	D
30/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	2	W
23/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	–	–	L
14/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	–	–	W
09/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D

B93 Copenhagen

LLWDDDLWWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
02/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
26/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
13/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
04/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W
14/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-3	0-4	–	–	L
07/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-2	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Naestved vs B93 Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an B93 Copenhagen win (41%). Probabilities: Naestved 32%, draw 27%, B93 Copenhagen 41%.

How many goals are expected in Naestved vs B93 Copenhagen?

The model expects 2.64 goals (Naestved 1.23 · B93 Copenhagen 1.41), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Naestved vs B93 Copenhagen?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.