Football · Denmark Division 2 · 17/10, 14:00

Prediction: Skive vs FA 2000

Team pages: Skive · FA 2000

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Skive1.56

FA 20001.06

1X2

48% 27% 25%

Skive Draw FA 2000

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Skive 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLDDWLWL

FA 2000 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDDLLLLD

Head-to-head

Skive 2–2–2 FA 2000 (6 last)

FA 20002-2Skive
Skive3-2FA 2000
FA 20003-2Skive
FA 20001-0Skive
Skive2-2FA 2000
Skive3-0FA 2000

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skive 1460 · FA 2000 1442

	Skive	Draw	FA 2000
Our model	48%	28%	24%
Market	49%	26%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skive	FA 2000
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 1.4	1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.1 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 4.9	2.6 / 3.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5.1 / 0	4.4 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.50

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.90

Under 2.51.90

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:14

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	3.50 → 3.50	Pinn 3.89 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:11 +3’	1.83	3.50	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:41 +34’	1.83	3.46	3.89

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive 2–2–2 FA 2000

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	2-2 HT 1-1	Skive
25/05/24 Denmark Division 2	Skive	3-2 HT 3-1	FA 2000
13/04/24 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	3-2 HT 1-1	Skive
28/10/23 Denmark Division 2	FA 2000	1-0 HT 1-0	Skive
02/09/23 Denmark Division 2	Skive	2-2 HT 1-1	FA 2000
26/05/22 Denmark Division 2	Skive	3-0 HT 1-0	FA 2000

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	11	7	4	0	28	12	25
2	FC Roskilde	11	5	6	0	21	10	21
3	B93 Copenhagen	11	5	3	3	19	14	18
4	VSK Arhus	11	5	3	3	15	10	18
5	Middelfart	11	4	5	2	19	13	17
6	Naestved	11	3	7	1	15	13	16
7	Skive	11	4	2	5	13	15	14
8	Fremad Amager	11	3	5	3	13	16	14
9	Brabrand	11	3	3	5	13	18	12
10	Hellerup IK	11	2	3	6	9	19	9
11	FA 2000	11	1	3	7	11	23	6
12	Thisted FC	11	1	2	8	9	22	5

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skive	FA 2000
FC Roskilde	0-3 L	1-5 L
Hellerup IK	2-0 W	1-2 L
VSK Arhus	0-1 L	0-0 D
Middelfart	0-0 D	0-1 L
Naestved	1-2 L	1-1 D
Thisted FC	1-0 W	1-0 W
Fremad Amager	0-2 L	1-2 L
Nykobing	2-3 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 1 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Skive (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skive

LLWLDDWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
03/10	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
18/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
13/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
05/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	6	7	D
30/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W
14/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-2	–	–	L
08/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-3	–	–	L

FA 2000

WLLDDLLLLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
10/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	3	4	D
03/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
26/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-2	4	4	L
18/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-5	3	3	L
13/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	1	L
05/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	7	D
29/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	1	5	D
22/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-4	–	–	L
14/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-2	–	–	L
08/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skive vs FA 2000?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skive win (48%). Probabilities: Skive 48%, draw 27%, FA 2000 25%.

How many goals are expected in Skive vs FA 2000?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Skive 1.56 · FA 2000 1.06), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Skive vs FA 2000?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.