Football · Denmark Division 2 · 10/10, 14:00

Prediction: Hellerup IK vs Thisted FC

Team pages: Hellerup IK · Thisted FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.78Total

Hellerup IK1.52

Thisted FC1.26

1X2

43% 27% 31%

Hellerup IK Draw Thisted FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Hellerup IK 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Thisted FC 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

LLLLDLLWLL

Head-to-head

Hellerup IK 0–2–4 Thisted FC (6 last)

Hellerup IK0-2Thisted FC
Thisted FC4-0Hellerup IK
Thisted FC3-0Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK1-1Thisted FC
Hellerup IK0-2Thisted FC
Thisted FC1-1Hellerup IK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellerup IK 1422 · Thisted FC 1430

	Hellerup IK	Draw	Thisted FC
Our model	42%	28%	30%
Market	43%	26%	31%

Estimated total (ours) 2.78 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Thisted FC: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellerup IK	Thisted FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.8	0.8 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1	0.1 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	0/40/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3 / 6	1.5 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.10

X3.50

22.88

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)1.93

2 (+0.25)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.98

Under 2.751.82

Diff.: 0 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:53

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.10 → 2.10	Bet365 2.10
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.88 → 2.88	Bet365 2.88

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11%

Time*	1	X	2
16:48 +5’	2.10	3.50	2.88

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellerup IK 0–2–4 Thisted FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	0-2 HT 0-1	Thisted FC
19/04/26 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
19/10/25 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	3-0 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
06/09/25 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-1 HT 1-0	Thisted FC
31/05/25 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	0-2 HT 0-0	Thisted FC
18/04/25 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Hellerup IK

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	10	6	4	0	25	11	22
2	VSK Arhus	10	5	3	2	14	7	18
3	Middelfart	10	4	5	1	18	10	17
4	FC Roskilde	9	3	6	0	16	10	15
5	B93 Copenhagen	10	4	3	3	16	13	15
6	Naestved	10	3	6	1	14	12	15
7	Skive	10	4	2	4	13	12	14
8	Fremad Amager	10	3	5	2	13	15	14
9	Brabrand	10	2	3	5	12	18	9
10	Hellerup IK	10	2	2	6	8	18	8
11	FA 2000	10	1	2	7	10	22	5
12	Thisted FC	9	1	1	7	8	19	4

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hellerup IK	Thisted FC
Skive	0-2 L	0-1 L
FC Roskilde	1-1 D	0-2 L
Nykobing	0-3 L	0-3 L
Fremad Amager	1-2 L	2-2 D
Brabrand	2-1 W	3-1 W
Middelfart	1-2 L	1-4 L
B93 Copenhagen	0-3 L	0-1 L
FA 2000	2-1 W	0-1 L
Naestved	1-1 D	1-3 L
VSK Arhus	0-2 L	1-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 6 L	1 W 1 D 8 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hellerup IK

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
11/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
05/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
21/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-3	–	–	L
14/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	2-1	–	–	W
09/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
01/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-2	–	–	L

Thisted FC

LLLLDLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-1	0	2	W
13/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
06/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-3	0-3	1	1	L
28/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-3	1-3	–	–	L
08/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
01/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-3	1-4	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellerup IK vs Thisted FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hellerup IK win (43%). Probabilities: Hellerup IK 43%, draw 27%, Thisted FC 31%.

How many goals are expected in Hellerup IK vs Thisted FC?

The model expects 2.78 goals (Hellerup IK 1.52 · Thisted FC 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellerup IK vs Thisted FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.