Football · Denmark Division 2 · 25/10, 14:00

Prediction: Nykobing vs Thisted FC

Team pages: Nykobing · Thisted FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.61Total

Nykobing2.53

Thisted FC1.08

1X2

68% 18% 14%

Nykobing Draw Thisted FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

2-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Nykobing 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WWDWWWDDWL

Thisted FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LLDLLWLLDD

Head-to-head

Nykobing 1–3–2 Thisted FC (6 last)

Thisted FC0-3Nykobing
Nykobing1-2Thisted FC
Thisted FC1-1Nykobing
Nykobing2-2Thisted FC
Thisted FC1-0Nykobing
Nykobing1-1Thisted FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nykobing 1574 · Thisted FC 1428

	Nykobing	Draw	Thisted FC
Our model	68%	18%	13%
Market	68%	18%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.61 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1574 vs 1428).
H2H favours Thisted FC: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Nykobing	Thisted FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.5 / 1.1	1 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.2	0.3 / 1.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/30/10%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.8 / 6.3	1.7 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0.1	3.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.30

X5.00

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)1.93

2 (+1.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.88

Under 3.251.93

Diff.: 0 · xG: 3.25

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 04:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.30 → 1.30	Pinn 1.38 ★
X	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
2	7.00 → 6.50▼	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.3% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +24’	1.30	5.00	7.00
04:07 +18’	1.30	5.00	6.50▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:12 +12’	1.37	4.71	5.90
13:27 +61’	1.38▲	4.87▲	6.16▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Nykobing 1–3–2 Thisted FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/09/26 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	0-3 HT 0-3	Nykobing
14/06/25 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	1-2 HT 0-1	Thisted FC
09/05/25 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Nykobing
27/10/24 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	2-2 HT 0-1	Thisted FC
18/08/24 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Nykobing
11/11/23 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	1-1 HT 1-0	Thisted FC

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	12	7	4	1	30	15	25
2	FC Roskilde	12	5	7	0	24	13	22
3	VSK Arhus	12	5	4	3	17	12	19
4	Naestved	12	4	7	1	17	14	19
5	Middelfart	12	4	6	2	22	16	18
6	B93 Copenhagen	12	5	3	4	20	16	18
7	Skive	12	5	2	5	15	15	17
8	Fremad Amager	12	4	5	3	16	18	17
9	Brabrand	12	3	3	6	13	19	12
10	Hellerup IK	12	3	3	6	10	19	12
11	Thisted FC	12	1	3	8	11	24	6
12	FA 2000	12	1	3	8	11	25	6

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Nykobing	Thisted FC
Fremad Amager	2-3 L	2-2 D
VSK Arhus	3-1 W	2-2 D
Naestved	1-1 D	1-3 L
Brabrand	1-1 D	3-1 W
Hellerup IK	3-0 W	1-1 D
FC Roskilde	2-2 D	0-2 L
B93 Copenhagen	4-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 1 L	1 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Nykobing (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nykobing

WWDWWWDDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
16/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-3	5	6	L
11/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
02/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
18/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	11	1	W
06/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	3-0	3-0	9	1	W
28/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
22/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W
14/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	3-0	4-0	–	–	W

Thisted FC

LLDLLWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-1	0	2	W
13/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
06/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-3	0-3	1	1	L
28/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L
15/08	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-3	1-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nykobing vs Thisted FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Nykobing win (68%). Probabilities: Nykobing 68%, draw 18%, Thisted FC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Nykobing vs Thisted FC?

The model expects 3.61 goals (Nykobing 2.53 · Thisted FC 1.08), with a 53% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Nykobing vs Thisted FC?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.