Football · Denmark Division 2 · 01/11, 13:00

Prediction: Thisted FC vs B93 Copenhagen

Team pages: Thisted FC · B93 Copenhagen

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.81Total

Thisted FC1.29

B93 Copenhagen1.52

1X2

31% 27% 42%

Thisted FC Draw B93 Copenhagen

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Thisted FC 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

LDLLWLLDDL

B93 Copenhagen 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WDDDLWWWLL

Head-to-head

Thisted FC 1–2–3 B93 Copenhagen (6 last)

B93 Copenhagen1-0Thisted FC
B93 Copenhagen1-1Thisted FC
Thisted FC0-0B93 Copenhagen
B93 Copenhagen2-0Thisted FC
Thisted FC0-2B93 Copenhagen
B93 Copenhagen0-1Thisted FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Thisted FC 1423 · B93 Copenhagen 1513

	Thisted FC	Draw	B93 Copenhagen
Our model	31%	27%	42%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.81 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours B93 Copenhagen (rating 1423 vs 1513).
H2H favours B93 Copenhagen: 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Thisted FC	B93 Copenhagen
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.9	1.8 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.2	1 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.6 / 3.9	2.3 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	4.4 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.88

X3.40

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.85

2 (-0.25)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 08:20

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 2.88▼	Pinn 2.93
X	3.60 → 3.40▼	Pinn 3.47
2	1.80 → 2.15▲	Pinn 2.26 ★

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 10.7% Pinnacle margin 7.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:19 +5’	3.60	3.60	1.80
18:57 +13’	2.55▼	3.40▼	2.38▲
08:12 +8’	2.88▲	3.40	2.15▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:22 +2’	3.39	3.58	1.96
17:44	2.74▼	3.38▼	2.36▲
18:35 +35’	2.87▲	3.38	2.27▼
09:08 +59’	2.90▲	3.42▲	2.24▼
11:00 +6’	2.93▲	3.47▲	2.26▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2.75

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Thisted FC 1–2–3 B93 Copenhagen

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Denmark Division 2	B93 Copenhagen	1-0 HT 1-0	Thisted FC
17/06/23 Denmark Division 2	B93 Copenhagen	1-1 HT 0-0	Thisted FC
15/04/23 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	0-0 HT 0-0	B93 Copenhagen
11/03/23 Denmark Division 2	B93 Copenhagen	2-0 HT 0-0	Thisted FC
11/09/22 Denmark Division 2	Thisted FC	0-2 HT 0-1	B93 Copenhagen
29/05/22 Denmark Division 2	B93 Copenhagen	0-1 HT 0-0	Thisted FC

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	14	9	4	1	37	16	31
2	FC Roskilde	14	6	8	0	28	13	26
3	Skive	14	6	3	5	22	19	21
4	Naestved	14	4	9	1	19	16	21
5	VSK Arhus	14	5	5	4	20	18	20
6	Fremad Amager	14	5	5	4	18	23	20
7	Middelfart	14	4	7	3	26	21	19
8	B93 Copenhagen	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
9	Brabrand	14	4	3	7	17	23	15
10	Hellerup IK	14	4	3	7	13	23	15
11	FA 2000	14	2	3	9	13	28	9
12	Thisted FC	13	1	3	9	11	27	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Thisted FC	B93 Copenhagen
VSK Arhus	2-2 D	2-2 D
Hellerup IK	1-1 D	3-0 W
Brabrand	3-1 W	2-3 L
Naestved	1-3 L	1-2 L
Fremad Amager	2-2 D	3-0 W
Skive	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 2 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: B93 Copenhagen (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Thisted FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-3	0-3	7	4	L
18/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
10/10	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	4	D
04/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	5	4	L
26/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	3	4	L
20/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-1	0	2	W
13/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	7	4	L
06/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-3	0-3	1	1	L
28/08	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/08	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	–	–	L

B93 Copenhagen

WDDDLWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-3	4	10	L
16/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-2	8	6	L
10/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	5	W
02/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
26/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
18/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	5	L
13/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	4	D
04/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	8	1	D
29/08	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-1	–	–	D
21/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Thisted FC vs B93 Copenhagen?

According to our model, the most likely result is an B93 Copenhagen win (42%). Probabilities: Thisted FC 31%, draw 27%, B93 Copenhagen 42%.

How many goals are expected in Thisted FC vs B93 Copenhagen?

The model expects 2.81 goals (Thisted FC 1.29 · B93 Copenhagen 1.52), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Thisted FC vs B93 Copenhagen?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.