Football · Denmark Division 2 · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: Hellerup IK vs Nykobing

Team pages: Hellerup IK · Nykobing

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.13Total

Hellerup IK1.06

Nykobing2.07

1X2

18% 22% 60%

Hellerup IK Draw Nykobing

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Hellerup IK 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

LLWLLDLDWW

Nykobing 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWWWDDWLW

Head-to-head

Hellerup IK 1–1–4 Nykobing (6 last)

Nykobing3-0Hellerup IK
Nykobing3-0Hellerup IK
Nykobing1-0Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK1-1Nykobing
Nykobing4-0Hellerup IK
Hellerup IK3-0Nykobing

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hellerup IK 1470 · Nykobing 1572

	Hellerup IK	Draw	Nykobing
Our model	18%	23%	60%
Market	18%	22%	60%

Estimated total (ours) 3.13 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nykobing (rating 1470 vs 1572).
H2H favours Nykobing: 4-1-1.
High corners: 10.8 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hellerup IK	Nykobing
Goals for / against (FT)	0.9 / 1.5	2.4 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.8	1.4 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	60/30/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 5.2	3.3 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0	3.8 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

15.00

X4.10

21.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.95

2 (-1)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.95

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00
X	4.10 → 4.10	Pinn 4.56 ★
2	1.50 → 1.50	Pinn 1.51

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
11:48 +18’	5.00	4.10	1.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:06 +1’	4.93	4.56	1.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hellerup IK 1–1–4 Nykobing

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Date	Home	Score	Away
18/09/26 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	3-0 HT 2-0	Hellerup IK
26/07/25 Europe Friendlies	Nykobing	3-0 HT 1-0	Hellerup IK
23/05/25 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	1-0 HT 0-0	Hellerup IK
25/04/25 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	1-1 HT 0-1	Nykobing
07/03/25 Denmark Division 2	Nykobing	4-0 HT 2-0	Hellerup IK
30/08/24 Denmark Division 2	Hellerup IK	3-0 HT 1-0	Nykobing

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	13	8	4	1	33	15	28
2	FC Roskilde	13	6	7	0	28	13	25
3	VSK Arhus	13	5	5	3	19	14	20
4	Naestved	13	4	8	1	19	16	20
5	Middelfart	13	4	7	2	25	19	19
6	B93 Copenhagen	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
7	Skive	13	5	3	5	18	18	18
8	Fremad Amager	13	4	5	4	16	22	17
9	Brabrand	13	4	3	6	16	21	15
10	Hellerup IK	13	4	3	6	12	19	15
11	FA 2000	13	1	3	9	11	27	6
11	Thisted FC	13	1	3	9	11	27	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hellerup IK	Nykobing
FA 2000	2-0 W	3-1 W
Brabrand	1-0 W	1-1 D
Thisted FC	1-1 D	3-0 W
FC Roskilde	1-1 D	2-2 D
Fremad Amager	1-2 L	2-3 L
Middelfart	1-2 L	3-2 W
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 2 L	3 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Nykobing (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hellerup IK

LLWLLDLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	1	5	W
17/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	6	W
10/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	7	4	D
03/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
25/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	7	6	D
18/09	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
11/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
05/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	6	5	W
29/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	1-2	5	0	L
21/08	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-3	–	–	L

Nykobing

WDWWWDDWLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	3-0	3-0	0	4	W
16/10	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-3	5	6	L
11/10	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	5	4	W
02/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	4	6	D
26/09	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	8	6	D
18/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
13/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	3-1	11	1	W
06/09	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	3-0	3-0	9	1	W
28/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	4	6	D
22/08	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-1	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hellerup IK vs Nykobing?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Nykobing win (60%). Probabilities: Hellerup IK 18%, draw 22%, Nykobing 60%.

How many goals are expected in Hellerup IK vs Nykobing?

The model expects 3.13 goals (Hellerup IK 1.06 · Nykobing 2.07), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hellerup IK vs Nykobing?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.