Football · Denmark Division 2 · 30/10, 19:00

Prediction: Skive vs VSK Arhus

Team pages: Skive · VSK Arhus

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.43Total

Skive1.28

VSK Arhus1.15

1X2

39% 28% 33%

Skive Draw VSK Arhus

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 14%

Recent form · 10 last

Skive 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLDDWLWLWD

VSK Arhus 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

WDLDDWLLDD

Head-to-head

Skive 1–3–2 VSK Arhus (6 last)

VSK Arhus1-0Skive
Skive1-1VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus0-1Skive
Skive1-1VSK Arhus
VSK Arhus1-1Skive
Skive0-2VSK Arhus

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Skive 1499 · VSK Arhus 1463

	Skive	Draw	VSK Arhus
Our model	38%	30%	32%
Market	40%	27%	33%

Estimated total (ours) 2.43 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours VSK Arhus: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 9.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Skive	VSK Arhus
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.4 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5	2.9 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	5 / 0	4.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.25

X3.40

22.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.25)2.02

2 (+0.25)1.77

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.25 → 2.25	Pinn 2.54 ★
X	3.40 → 3.40	Pinn 3.41
2	2.70 → 2.70	Bet365 2.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 10.9% Pinnacle margin 8.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +6’	2.25	3.40	2.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
13:53 +17’	2.54	3.41	2.52

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Skive 1–3–2 VSK Arhus

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/09/26 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	1-0 HT 0-0	Skive
13/05/26 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-1 HT 1-1	VSK Arhus
18/04/26 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	0-1 HT 0-1	Skive
01/11/25 Denmark Division 2	Skive	1-1 HT 1-0	VSK Arhus
13/09/25 Denmark Division 2	VSK Arhus	1-1 HT 1-1	Skive
27/07/24 Europe Friendlies	Skive	0-2 HT 0-1	VSK Arhus

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	13	8	4	1	33	15	28
2	FC Roskilde	13	6	7	0	28	13	25
3	VSK Arhus	13	5	5	3	19	14	20
4	Naestved	13	4	8	1	19	16	20
5	Middelfart	13	4	7	2	25	19	19
6	B93 Copenhagen	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
7	Skive	13	5	3	5	18	18	18
8	Fremad Amager	13	4	5	4	16	22	17
9	Brabrand	13	4	3	6	16	21	15
10	Hellerup IK	13	4	3	6	12	19	15
11	FA 2000	13	1	3	9	11	27	6
11	Thisted FC	13	1	3	9	11	27	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Skive	VSK Arhus
Middelfart	3-3 D	1-1 D
FA 2000	2-0 W	0-0 D
FC Roskilde	0-3 L	0-1 L
B93 Copenhagen	2-1 W	2-2 D
Naestved	1-2 L	2-2 D
Thisted FC	1-0 W	2-2 D
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	0 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Skive (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Skive

WLDDWLWLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-2	3-3	5	7	D
17/10	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	2-0	2-0	6	2	W
10/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-3	8	4	L
03/10	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
26/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	3	7	L
18/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-1	2-1	3	5	W
13/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
05/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	6	7	D
30/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-2	5	2	L
21/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	–	–	W

VSK Arhus

WDLDDWLLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	2	6	D
18/10	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	–	–	D
11/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	3	4	L
02/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-2	7	3	L
26/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	5	7	W
19/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
13/09	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-2	3	4	D
05/09	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
29/08	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D
23/08	Naestved Denmark Division 2	1-0	2-0	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Skive vs VSK Arhus?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Skive win (39%). Probabilities: Skive 39%, draw 28%, VSK Arhus 33%.

How many goals are expected in Skive vs VSK Arhus?

The model expects 2.43 goals (Skive 1.28 · VSK Arhus 1.15), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Skive vs VSK Arhus?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.