Football · Denmark Division 2 · 31/10, 15:00

Prediction: Fremad Amager vs Middelfart

Team pages: Fremad Amager · Middelfart

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.2Total

Fremad Amager1.56

Middelfart1.65

1X2

35% 26% 39%

Fremad Amager Draw Middelfart

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Fremad Amager 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DDDWDWLLWL

Middelfart 2-6-2 (W-D-L)

LWDDDDWLDD

Head-to-head

Fremad Amager 0–3–3 Middelfart (6 last)

Middelfart1-1Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager1-1Middelfart
Middelfart3-1Fremad Amager
Middelfart1-1Fremad Amager
Fremad Amager0-4Middelfart
Fremad Amager1-3Middelfart

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Fremad Amager 1491 · Middelfart 1498

	Fremad Amager	Draw	Middelfart
Our model	35%	25%	39%
Market	35%	26%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 3.2 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Middelfart: 3-3-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Fremad Amager	Middelfart
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.7	1.6 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.6	0.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 4.3	1.6 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.8 / 0	4.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.50

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.82

Under 2.751.98

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:15

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Pinn 2.81 ★
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.31

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 8.6%

Time*	1	X	2
13:03 +12’	2.55	3.50	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
12:53 +22’	2.81	3.37	2.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Fremad Amager 0–3–3 Middelfart

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Date	Home	Score	Away
05/09/26 Denmark Division 2	Middelfart	1-1 HT 0-1	Fremad Amager
18/05/25 Denmark Division 2	Fremad Amager	1-1 HT 0-0	Middelfart
02/05/25 Denmark Division 2	Middelfart	3-1 HT 2-1	Fremad Amager
26/10/24 Denmark Division 2	Middelfart	1-1 HT 1-0	Fremad Amager
31/08/24 Denmark Division 2	Fremad Amager	0-4 HT 0-3	Middelfart
28/03/24 Denmark Division 2	Fremad Amager	1-3 HT 0-1	Middelfart

Standings · Denmark Division 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Nykobing	13	8	4	1	33	15	28
2	FC Roskilde	13	6	7	0	28	13	25
3	VSK Arhus	13	5	5	3	19	14	20
4	Naestved	13	4	8	1	19	16	20
5	Middelfart	13	4	7	2	25	19	19
6	B93 Copenhagen	13	5	3	5	22	19	18
7	Skive	13	5	3	5	18	18	18
8	Fremad Amager	13	4	5	4	16	22	17
9	Brabrand	13	4	3	6	16	21	15
10	Hellerup IK	13	4	3	6	12	19	15
11	FA 2000	13	1	3	9	11	27	6
11	Thisted FC	13	1	3	9	11	27	6

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Fremad Amager	Middelfart
FC Roskilde	0-4 L	3-3 D
Nykobing	3-2 W	2-3 L
B93 Copenhagen	0-3 L	1-3 L
FA 2000	2-1 W	1-0 W
Naestved	1-1 D	2-2 D
Hellerup IK	2-1 W	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 2 L	2 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Middelfart (2 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Fremad Amager

DDDWDWLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-4	3	6	L
16/10	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-2	6	6	W
10/10	Brabrand Denmark Division 2	0-1	0-1	10	1	L
02/10	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-2	0-3	2	2	L
26/09	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-1	3	4	W
18/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-1	2	5	D
11/09	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	1	W
05/09	Middelfart Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	3	5	D
28/08	Thisted FC Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-2	5	4	D
21/08	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	–	–	D

Middelfart

LWDDDDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/10	Skive Denmark Division 2	2-1	3-3	2	7	D
17/10	FC Roskilde Denmark Division 2	0-0	3-3	2	2	D
10/10	B93 Copenhagen Denmark Division 2	0-2	1-3	9	5	L
03/10	FA 2000 Denmark Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	7	W
27/09	Naestved Denmark Division 2	0-0	2-2	10	2	D
19/09	VSK Arhus Denmark Division 2	1-0	1-1	2	3	D
13/09	Skive Denmark Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	8	D
05/09	Fremad Amager Denmark Division 2	0-1	1-1	6	5	D
29/08	Hellerup IK Denmark Division 2	2-1	2-1	4	0	W
22/08	Nykobing Denmark Division 2	1-1	2-3	–	–	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Fremad Amager vs Middelfart?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Middelfart win (39%). Probabilities: Fremad Amager 35%, draw 26%, Middelfart 39%.

How many goals are expected in Fremad Amager vs Middelfart?

The model expects 3.2 goals (Fremad Amager 1.56 · Middelfart 1.65), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Fremad Amager vs Middelfart?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.