Football · Spain Primera Women · 18/10, 16:00

Prediction: Eibar (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Team pages: Eibar (W) · Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.89Total

Eibar (W)0.83

Deportivo A Coruna (W)1.06

1X2

28% 32% 40%

Eibar (W) Draw Deportivo A Coruna (W)

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 58% Not both to score 53%

Most likely score

0-0 16%

Recent form · 10 last

Eibar (W) 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LWDWWDLWWD

Deportivo A Coruna (W) 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LWDLLDLWDL

Head-to-head

Eibar (W) 3–2–1 Deportivo A Coruna (W) (6 last)

Deportivo A Coruna (W)2-1Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)1-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)0-1Eibar (W)
Eibar (W)0-0Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Eibar (W)2-1Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Deportivo A Coruna (W)1-1Eibar (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eibar (W) 1530 · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1466

	Eibar (W)	Draw	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Our model	27%	34%	39%
Market	29%	30%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 1.89 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Eibar (W) (rating 1530 vs 1466).
H2H favours Eibar (W): 3-2-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eibar (W)	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 0.9	0.9 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/80/0%	20/40/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.7	1 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	2.9 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.00

22.15

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 21.90

Under 21.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 3 moves · last 06:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Pinn 3.26 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Pinn 3.04
2	2.15 → 2.15	Pinn 2.19

See the full journey (3)

Bet365 margin 12.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
17:09 +8’	3.10	3.00	2.15
19:47 +23’	3.20▲	3.00	2.10▼
05:52 +18’	3.10▼	3.00	2.15▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
16:51 +26’	3.30	3.04	2.18
06:04 +5’	3.26▼	3.04	2.19▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Over/Under 2

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eibar (W) 3–2–1 Deportivo A Coruna (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/03/26 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	2-1 HT 2-1	Eibar (W)
01/11/25 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	1-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
09/03/25 Spain Primera Women	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	0-1 HT 0-0	Eibar (W)
20/10/24 Spain Primera Women	Eibar (W)	0-0 HT 0-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
17/08/24 Women’s Friendly	Eibar (W)	2-1 HT 1-0	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
27/08/23 Women’s Friendly	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	1-1 HT 1-0	Eibar (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	6	6	0	0	28	2	18
2	Real Madrid (W)	7	5	1	1	16	14	16
3	Athletic Bilbao (W)	7	4	2	1	12	8	14
4	Madrid CFF (W)	6	4	1	1	11	9	13
5	Eibar (W)	6	3	2	1	4	4	11
6	Tenerife (W)	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
7	Granada (W)	7	3	1	3	8	11	10
8	Atletico Madrid (W)	6	3	0	3	10	11	9
9	Espanyol (W)	7	2	2	3	10	9	8
10	FC Badalona (W)	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
11	Sevilla (W)	6	2	1	3	7	10	7
12	Logrono United (W)	7	2	0	5	7	10	6
13	CD Alaves (W)	6	2	0	4	3	9	6
14	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	6	1	2	3	5	6	5
15	Real Sociedad (W)	6	1	2	3	7	11	5
16	Valencia (W)	7	0	0	7	4	14	0

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eibar (W)	Deportivo A Coruna (W)
Granada (W)	0-0 D	3-0 W
Sevilla (W)	1-0 W	0-1 L
Athletic Bilbao (W)	1-0 W	1-0 W
Real Madrid (W)	0-0 D	0-2 L
Espanyol (W)	1-0 W	1-1 D
Atletico Madrid (W)	0-4 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Eibar (W) (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eibar (W)

LWDWWDLWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
04/10	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	5	8	D
27/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	0	4	W
20/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	7	2	W
13/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-4	1	0	L
06/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	0	3	D
29/08	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	5	1	W
31/05	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	2-1	6	4	W
26/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
09/05	Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	6	1	W
03/05	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-4	2	1	L

Deportivo A Coruna (W)

LWDLLDLWDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/10	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-2	4	0	L
27/09	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-1	1	3	D
20/09	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-0	4	4	W
11/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-2	3	2	L
06/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	6	D
29/08	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	1	L
31/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
27/05	Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
03/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-2	3	5	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eibar (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Deportivo A Coruna (W) win (40%). Probabilities: Eibar (W) 28%, draw 32%, Deportivo A Coruna (W) 40%.

How many goals are expected in Eibar (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

The model expects 1.89 goals (Eibar (W) 0.83 · Deportivo A Coruna (W) 1.06), with a 54% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Eibar (W) vs Deportivo A Coruna (W)?

The model gives a 53% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.