Football · Spain Primera Women · 24/10, 12:00

Prediction: Real Sociedad (W) vs Espanyol (W)

Team pages: Real Sociedad (W) · Espanyol (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Real Sociedad (W)1.82

Espanyol (W)0.87

1X2

59% 23% 17%

Real Sociedad (W) Draw Espanyol (W)

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Real Sociedad (W) 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

WLWLLDDLWW

Espanyol (W) 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

DDDLLDWDWL

Head-to-head

Real Sociedad (W) 6–0 Espanyol (W) (6 last)

Real Sociedad (W)2-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)2-3Real Sociedad (W)
Espanyol (W)0-3Real Sociedad (W)
Real Sociedad (W)4-1Espanyol (W)
Espanyol (W)0-4Real Sociedad (W)
Real Sociedad (W)1-0Espanyol (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Real Sociedad (W) 1516 · Espanyol (W) 1505

	Real Sociedad (W)	Draw	Espanyol (W)
Our model	59%	25%	17%
Market	60%	22%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Real Sociedad (W): 6-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Real Sociedad (W)	Espanyol (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.4	1.3 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/70/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.9 / 5.4	1.9 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0.2	2.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.10

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.88

2 (+1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 2.51.80

Under 2.52.00

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.7

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 22:36

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.50▲	Pinn 1.52
X	4.20 → 4.10▼	Bet365 4.10
2	5.50 → 5.00▼	Pinn 5.51 ★

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 11.1% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
15:11 +4’	1.44	4.20	5.50
22:25 +11’	1.50▲	4.10▼	5.00▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
15:54 +18’	1.52	3.97	5.51

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Real Sociedad (W) 6–0–0 Espanyol (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/02/26 Spain Primera Women	Real Sociedad (W)	2-1 HT 2-0	Espanyol (W)
09/11/25 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	2-3 HT 1-1	Real Sociedad (W)
03/05/25 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	0-3 HT 0-1	Real Sociedad (W)
19/01/25 Spain Primera Women	Real Sociedad (W)	4-1 HT 0-1	Espanyol (W)
28/03/21 Spain Primera Women	Espanyol (W)	0-4 HT 0-2	Real Sociedad (W)
06/12/20 Spain Primera Women	Real Sociedad (W)	1-0 HT 1-0	Espanyol (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	7	6	0	1	29	4	18
2	Real Madrid (W)	7	5	1	1	16	14	16
3	Athletic Bilbao (W)	7	4	2	1	12	8	14
4	Madrid CFF (W)	7	4	1	2	11	13	13
5	Atletico Madrid (W)	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
6	Tenerife (W)	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
7	Eibar (W)	7	3	2	2	6	7	11
8	Granada (W)	7	3	1	3	8	11	10
9	Espanyol (W)	7	2	2	3	10	9	8
10	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	7	2	2	3	8	8	8
11	FC Badalona (W)	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
11	Real Sociedad (W)	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
13	Sevilla (W)	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	CD Alaves (W)	7	2	1	4	4	10	7
15	Logrono United (W)	7	2	0	5	7	10	6
16	Valencia (W)	7	0	0	7	4	14	0

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Real Sociedad (W)	Espanyol (W)
Real Madrid (W)	3-5 L	1-3 L
FC Badalona (W)	0-0 D	0-1 L
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 1 L	0 W 0 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Real Sociedad (W) (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Real Sociedad (W)

WLWLLDDLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	2-1	2-1	2	4	W
04/10	Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-0	9	6	W
26/09	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	3-5	3	6	L
19/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
13/09	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-1	5	5	D
07/09	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	2-2	2-3	8	1	L
29/08	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	6	3	L
31/05	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	5	2	W
27/05	Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-2	4	1	L
09/05	Granada (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	3-0	5	3	W

Espanyol (W)

DDDLLDWDWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	1-3	3	4	L
03/10	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	4	2	W
27/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	1-1	0	3	D
19/09	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	3-1	5-1	6	2	W
12/09	Athletic Bilbao (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	1	2	D
05/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
29/08	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-1	5	1	L
31/05	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	2	3	D
27/05	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	2-2	4	5	D
09/05	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	1-1	7	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Real Sociedad (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Real Sociedad (W) win (59%). Probabilities: Real Sociedad (W) 59%, draw 23%, Espanyol (W) 17%.

How many goals are expected in Real Sociedad (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Real Sociedad (W) 1.82 · Espanyol (W) 0.87), with a 52% chance of over 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Real Sociedad (W) vs Espanyol (W)?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.