Football · Spain Primera Women · 24/10, 12:00
Prediction: Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Sevilla (W)
Team pages: Athletic Bilbao (W) · Sevilla (W)
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.66Total
Athletic Bilbao (W)1.6
Sevilla (W)1.06
1X2
Athletic Bilbao (W)
Draw
Sevilla (W)
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Athletic Bilbao (W)
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Sevilla (W)
2-4-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Athletic Bilbao (W)
2–2–2
Sevilla (W)
(6 last)
- Sevilla (W)4-0Athletic Bilbao (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)1-1Sevilla (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)0-1Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)2-5Athletic Bilbao (W)
- Athletic Bilbao (W)2-1Sevilla (W)
- Sevilla (W)1-1Athletic Bilbao (W)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Athletic Bilbao (W) 1533 · Sevilla (W) 1496
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | Draw | Sevilla (W) | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 27% | 24% |
| Market | 50% | 25% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.66 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Athletic Bilbao (W) | Sevilla (W) | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1 | 0.8 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 4.1 | 2.3 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Athletic Bilbao (W) 2–2–2 Sevilla (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08/02/26 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
| 28/09/25 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Sevilla (W) |
| 15/03/25 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 15/12/24 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 2-5 HT 1-3 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
| 16/06/24 Spain Primera Women | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Sevilla (W) |
| 17/12/23 Spain Primera Women | Sevilla (W) | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Athletic Bilbao (W) |
Standings · Spain Primera Women
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Barcelona (W) | 7 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 4 | 18 |
| 2 | Real Madrid (W) | 7 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | 16 |
| 3 | Athletic Bilbao (W) | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 8 | 14 |
| 4 | Madrid CFF (W) | 7 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 13 | 13 |
| 5 | Atletico Madrid (W) | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | 12 |
| 6 | Tenerife (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 11 |
| 7 | Eibar (W) | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | Granada (W) | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 10 |
| 9 | Espanyol (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 9 | 8 |
| 10 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 8 | 8 |
| 11 | FC Badalona (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 11 | Real Sociedad (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 12 | 8 |
| 13 | Sevilla (W) | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 11 | 8 |
| 14 | CD Alaves (W) | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 7 |
| 15 | Logrono United (W) | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 6 |
| 16 | Valencia (W) | 7 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 0 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Athletic Bilbao (W) | Sevilla (W) |
|---|---|---|
| Madrid CFF (W) | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Eibar (W) | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Espanyol (W) | 2-2 D | 0-0 D |
| FC Badalona (W) | 3-1 W | 3-3 D |
| Deportivo A Coruna (W) | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Athletic Bilbao (W) (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Athletic Bilbao (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Valencia (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 03/10 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 27/09 | Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 20/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 12/09 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 06/09 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 30/08 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 31/05 | Alhama CF (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 26/05 | Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
Sevilla (W)
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 03/10 | FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 3-3 | 5 | 5 | D |
| 27/09 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 20/09 | Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women |
2-1 | 3-1 | 0 | 3 | W |
| 12/09 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Barcelona (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-3 | 0-4 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 29/08 | Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 31/05 | Espanyol (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/05 | Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | D |
| 11/05 | Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Athletic Bilbao (W) win (49%). Probabilities: Athletic Bilbao (W) 49%, draw 26%, Sevilla (W) 24%.
How many goals are expected in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
The model expects 2.66 goals (Athletic Bilbao (W) 1.6 · Sevilla (W) 1.06), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Athletic Bilbao (W) vs Sevilla (W)?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.