Football · Spain Primera Women · 24/10, 20:30

Prediction: Barcelona (W) vs Granada (W)

Team pages: Barcelona (W) · Granada (W)

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.3Total

Barcelona (W)3.15

Granada (W)1.15

1X2

86% 8% 6%

Barcelona (W) Draw Granada (W)

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

3-1 8%

Recent form · 10 last

Barcelona (W) 9-0-1 (W-D-L)

WWWWWWWWWL

Granada (W) 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

LLLLWLLWDW

Head-to-head

Barcelona (W) 6–0 Granada (W) (6 last)

Granada (W)0-2Barcelona (W)
Barcelona (W)2-0Granada (W)
Granada (W)0-2Barcelona (W)
Barcelona (W)10-1Granada (W)
Granada (W)1-4Barcelona (W)
Barcelona (W)6-1Granada (W)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Barcelona (W) 1669 · Granada (W) 1470

	Barcelona (W)	Draw	Granada (W)
Our model	76%	14%	10%
Market	94%	4%	2%

Estimated total (ours) 4.3 goals · Bet365 line 5 · -0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 82%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barcelona (W) (rating 1669 vs 1470).
H2H favours Barcelona (W): 6-0-0.
High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Barcelona (W)	Granada (W)
Goals for / against (FT)	3.8 / 0.6	1.1 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	2.1 / 0.5	0.5 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	4.2 / 7.7	1.6 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.8 / 0.1	3.5 / 0.4

Odds Bet365

11.01

X26.00

241.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-4.5)1.93

2 (+4.5)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 51.82

Under 51.98

Diff.: 1.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 15:25

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.01 → 1.01	Bet365 1.01
X	26.00 → 26.00	Bet365 26.00
2	41.00 → 41.00	Bet365 41.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 4.8%

Time*	1	X	2
15:17 +8’	1.01	26.00	41.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Barcelona (W) 6–0–0 Granada (W)

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Date	Home	Score	Away
21/02/26 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	0-2 HT 0-2	Barcelona (W)
19/10/25 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	2-0 HT 0-0	Granada (W)
30/03/25 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	0-2 HT 0-0	Barcelona (W)
28/09/24 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	10-1 HT 5-0	Granada (W)
04/05/24 Spain Primera Women	Granada (W)	1-4 HT 1-3	Barcelona (W)
21/10/23 Spain Primera Women	Barcelona (W)	6-1 HT 2-0	Granada (W)

Standings · Spain Primera Women

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Barcelona (W)	7	6	0	1	29	4	18
2	Real Madrid (W)	7	5	1	1	16	14	16
3	Athletic Bilbao (W)	7	4	2	1	12	8	14
4	Madrid CFF (W)	7	4	1	2	11	13	13
5	Atletico Madrid (W)	7	4	0	3	14	11	12
6	Tenerife (W)	7	3	2	2	10	11	11
7	Eibar (W)	7	3	2	2	6	7	11
8	Granada (W)	7	3	1	3	8	11	10
9	Espanyol (W)	7	2	2	3	10	9	8
10	Deportivo A Coruna (W)	7	2	2	3	8	8	8
11	FC Badalona (W)	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
11	Real Sociedad (W)	7	2	2	3	9	12	8
13	Sevilla (W)	7	2	2	3	8	11	8
14	CD Alaves (W)	7	2	1	4	4	10	7
15	Logrono United (W)	7	2	0	5	7	10	6
16	Valencia (W)	7	0	0	7	4	14	0

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Barcelona (W)	Granada (W)
Real Sociedad (W)	1-2 L	3-2 W
Real Madrid (W)	7-0 W	0-2 L
Logrono United (W)	2-0 W	3-2 W
CD Alaves (W)	6-0 W	0-1 L
Madrid CFF (W)	4-0 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 1 L	2 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Barcelona (W) (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Barcelona (W)

WWWWWWWWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/10	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	1-2	1-2	7	4	L
04/10	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	5-0	7-0	4	3	W
26/09	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	1-0	2-0	4	1	W
18/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	3-0	6-0	12	1	W
12/09	Atletico Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	4-2	11	1	W
05/09	Sevilla (W) Spain Primera Women	3-0	4-0	10	0	W
30/08	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	5-0	12	5	W
31/05	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	4-0	5	0	W
27/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	2-1	2-1	4	1	W
10/05	Tenerife (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	3-1	8	3	W

Granada (W)

LLLLWLLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
17/10	Logrono United (W) Spain Primera Women	1-1	3-2	8	4	W
04/10	Eibar (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-0	6	8	D
26/09	FC Badalona (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
20/09	Deportivo A Coruna (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	0-3	2	4	L
13/09	CD Alaves (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-1	5	7	L
07/09	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	2-2	3-2	3	1	W
29/08	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	0-2	1-3	3	2	L
31/05	Real Madrid (W) Spain Primera Women	0-0	0-2	2	2	L
26/05	Madrid CFF (W) Spain Primera Women	2-0	3-4	3	4	L
09/05	Real Sociedad (W) Spain Primera Women	0-1	0-3	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Barcelona (W) vs Granada (W)?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Barcelona (W) win (86%). Probabilities: Barcelona (W) 86%, draw 8%, Granada (W) 6%.

How many goals are expected in Barcelona (W) vs Granada (W)?

The model expects 4.3 goals (Barcelona (W) 3.15 · Granada (W) 1.15), with a 57% chance of under 5 goals.

Will both teams score in Barcelona (W) vs Granada (W)?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.